Key Points

McKinsey's Shivanshu Gupta believes global trade disruptions are creating a major opportunity for India's auto component industry. He projects $20-30 billion in incremental revenue over the next four to five years from both ICE and EV components. India can become the world's most efficient supplier for traditional combustion engine parts while also playing a significant role in electrification. The country's growing EV market, particularly in two-wheelers and three-wheelers, provides additional domestic momentum.

Key Points: McKinsey's Shivanshu Gupta Sees $30B Auto Parts Boom for India

  • Global trade disruption creates major opportunity for Indian manufacturers
  • India to remain key ICE component supplier as "last man standing"
  • $20-30 billion revenue potential in next 4-5 years
  • Significant role foreseen in global EV component supply chain
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McKinsey's Shivanshu Gupta: Indian auto component industry to benefit from global trade shifts

McKinsey expert Shivanshu Gupta says global trade shifts could bring India's auto component industry $20-30B in new revenue by 2028 from both ICE and EV parts.

"India can be a very large part of that play - Shivanshu Gupta"

New Delhi, September 12

Shivanshu Gupta, Senior Partner at global management consulting firm McKinsey on Friday said he believes the disruption in global trade flow can come as a shot in the arm for Indian auto component makers - both on the ICE and EV front.

"...there is a lot of trade flow disruption that is happening in the world, which is also creating opportunity for us (India)," Gupta told ANI, on the sidelines of the Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India's annual event here in the national capital.

Gupta said Indian auto component manufacturers will remain relevant.

"We will still be a largely ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) component market in India. But also globally, there will be a lot of players who will rely on other countries to have ICE components. And I think India can be a very large part of that play," he said.

Gupta foresees that almost USD 20 to 30 billion of incremental revenue in the next four to five years can come through.

On scope in the EV space, Gupta said India can play a key role at a time when a large electrification wave is happening in the mobility space, both domestically and globally.

"...India can play a very large part on the component side," he asserted.

In the US and the EU, the EV adoption rate can go up to 30% to 60 % on the passenger car side by the year 2030. Talking of India, he said the country is growing at a 35% CAGR -- on the back of two-wheelers, three-wheelers, and small commercial vehicles.

"So I think there is a lot of opportunity both on the ICE component side as being the last man standing play, where we become the most efficient suppliers for the world, as well as on the electrification side," he continued.

He reiterated that as global trade flows shift, Indian auto components are set to be one of the biggest beneficiaries.

Speaking of the rare earth shortage, he conceded that it is "a real challenge".

"It is also a challenge in the short term. There are lot of initiatives that are on, whether it's resolving temporarily with China, whether it is trying to figure out alternatives which can be done without rare earths. So instead of using a PMSM motor, can you use an electrically excited synchronous motor? So there are a lot of things that the government is trying that the industry is trying there is also recycling that can be done to resolve that, so I think there will be resolutions you know which are in the pipe which should happen," he added.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Finally some positive news for our manufacturing sector! The $20-30 billion projection is huge. Hope our companies are ready to scale up and meet global quality standards. We need more such opportunities for Indian industries.
M
Michael C
As someone working in automotive exports, I can confirm the demand is shifting toward Indian suppliers. Our quality has improved dramatically over the years. The rare earth challenge is real though - hope the alternatives work out.
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Ananya R
Good analysis but I hope we don't become just the "last man standing" for ICE components. We should aggressively invest in EV technology and not just rely on traditional manufacturing. The future is electric! âš¡
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Suresh O
Our MSME sector in auto components needs government support to upgrade technology and scale up. Many small manufacturers lack the capital to meet international standards. Hope policies are implemented to help them benefit from this opportunity.
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Kavya N
The 35% CAGR in EV adoption is impressive! Our two-wheeler and three-wheeler EV market is really leading the charge. This gives us a strong foundation to become global EV component suppliers. Great time for engineering graduates to enter this sector! 🚀

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