Key Points

India currently gains little from iPhone assembly beyond low-wage jobs while absorbing most trade deficit blame. Moving production to America would slash Apple's profits unless prices rise for US consumers. The shift could force India to develop higher-value tech manufacturing like semiconductors. Trump's push appears more about creating entry-level jobs than reclaiming strategic tech capabilities.

Key Points: Apple US Shift Would Hurt Profits More Than India Says GTRI

  • India earns just 3% per iPhone despite assembly jobs
  • Moving to US would raise Apple's labor costs 13-fold
  • Shift could push India toward chip and display manufacturing
  • Trump targets low-value jobs despite minimal tech gains
3 min read

Even if Apple moves manufacturing to US, India will not lose much: Global Trade Research Initiative

GTRI report reveals India earns just $30 per iPhone while Apple faces 13x higher costs if manufacturing moves to US under Trump pressure

"For every $1000 iPhone, India's share is less than $30 yet US trade deficit shows full $7B export value - Ajay Srivastava, GTRI"

New Delhi May 16

If Apple CEO Tim Cook decides to move manufacturing unit from India to US, it will be Apple which will lose more than India says a report by Global Trade Research Initiative founder Ajay Srivastava.

India may lose some low paying jobs, but if we see holistically currently, India earns USD 30 per iPhone, much of it is given back to Apple as subsidy under the Production Linked Subsidy (PLI) scheme. Also India is reducing tariffs on key smartphone components at the request of big firms like Apple, which is hurting domestic industry who are into building a local manufacturing ecosystem.

"For every iPhone sold at around USD 1,000 in the US, India's share is less than USD 30. Yet, in trade data, the full USD 7 billion export value adds to the US trade deficit," says Ajay Srivastava founder GTRI.

If Apple moves its manufacturing to US, India can increase its focus on new age technologies and move from shallow assembly lines of smart phones.

"If Apple's assembly moves out, India will be forced to stop propping up shallow assembly lines and instead invest in deeper manufacturing--chips, displays, batteries, and beyond," says Srivastava.

Every iPhone, made in India carries the imprint of a dozen countries, through its software, design and brand which carries a lion's share of the value. A made in India iPhone of USD 1000, carries a value of about USD 450 for the device, US component makers like Qualcomm and Broadcom gets another USD 80. Taiwan gets USD 150 for chip manufacturing, South Korea adds USD 90 for OLED screens and memory chips and Japan contributes USD 85 for camera. Other countries like Germany, Vietnam and Malaysia account for another USD 45 for smaller parts.

India and China as manufacturers get a mere USD 30 per device, which is less than 3 per cent of the device cost. But manufacturing units while returns low in value, is high in employment. About 3 lakh workers in China and 60,000 in India works in these units. GTRI says this is the reason why Trump wants Apple to shift its manufacturing to US.

"This is precisely the segment of the supply chain Trump wants to bring back to the U.S.--not because it's high-tech, but because it delivers jobs." says Srivastava

Moving assembly units from India will create entry-level jobs in the US, but production cost would rise multi-fold for Apple. In India Apple pays an average of USD 290 per month to assembly workers, under U.S minimum wage laws it will rise to USD 2900 - a 13fold increase. The cost of assembling a device will increase from USD 30 to USD 390 per device. Overall, Apple profit per device will reduce to USD 60 from USD 450 unless it raises price of iPhone which will hit American buyers.

Will Tim Cook, Apple CEO sacrifice such a big portion of its high profit to rebuild America or he will go with a commercial decision, is still to be answered.

There are many questions still to be answered. Is Trump playing a pressure tactics through these statements to put pressure on India for a favourable trade deal under the ongoing negotiations. Why did Trump didn't asked Cook to move manufacturing from China, which still makes 85 per cent of iPhones, India contributes only 15 per cent.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

Here are 6 diverse Indian perspective comments for the article:
R
Rahul K.
This report makes perfect sense. Why should India beg companies to stay when we get only ₹2500 per iPhone while doing all the hard work? Better to focus on semiconductor manufacturing where real value lies. Atmanirbhar Bharat should mean creating our own tech giants, not just assembling foreign products. 🇮🇳
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Priya M.
Interesting analysis but I'm concerned about the 60,000 workers who might lose jobs. Even if wages are low, these jobs help many families. Government should have a plan to reskill these workers before celebrating Apple's potential exit. We can't treat people like chess pieces in economic strategies.
A
Arjun S.
Trump is clearly using Apple as a bargaining chip in trade talks. China makes 85% of iPhones but he targets India's 15%? This selective pressure shows how the West views India as more pliable than China. We must stand firm in negotiations - no more concessions for foreign companies!
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Sunita T.
As someone working in electronics manufacturing, I can confirm the PLI subsidies are helping foreign firms more than Indian ones. We're reducing import duties on components while our own manufacturers struggle to compete. Time to rethink this policy - 'Make in India' should mean Indian companies benefit first!
V
Vikram J.
The math is clear - Apple won't move manufacturing to US. Their profits will drop from $450 to $60 per phone? No company would do that. This is just political drama before elections. Meanwhile, India should use this time to build our own ecosystem rather than depend on these multinationals.
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Neha P.
While I agree we need higher value manufacturing, let's not underestimate what Apple's presence has done. Their supply chain standards have improved our manufacturing quality. The challenge is to move up the value chain while keeping these jobs. Why can't we do both? 🤔

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