Key Points

Gold prices on the Comex exchange are projected to reach USD 3,600 per troy ounce by the end of 2025. This forecast comes after prices hit a fresh record high of USD 3,534.10 in early August. Strong investment demand and ETF inflows are offsetting weaker jewellery sales globally. Indian investors are particularly driving growth through digital gold platforms and ETFs.

Key Points: Comex Gold Forecast to Hit USD 3600 by Year-End 2025

  • Gold prices hit fresh record high of USD 3,534.10 on August 7
  • Indian gold ETF holdings surged 42% YoY to 66.68 tons
  • Central bank purchases lifted global reserves to 36,345 tons
  • Gold delivered 23% average annual returns over last three years
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Comex gold prices projected to touch USD 3,600 by year-end: Report

Ventura projects gold prices to reach USD 3,600 per troy ounce by end of 2025, driven by Fed rate cuts, strong ETF inflows, and robust Indian retail demand.

"Gold's strategic role in portfolios has strengthened as investors navigate an era of slower global growth, policy uncertainty, and elevated geopolitical risks. - NS Ramaswamy, Ventura"

New Delhi, August 20

Gold prices on the Comex exchange are projected to climb to USD 3,600 per troy ounce by the end of 2025, according to a report by Ventura. The forecast follows a fresh record high of USD 3,534.10 on August 7, surpassing the earlier peak of USD 3,509.90 in April this year.

A troy ounce of gold is a unit of weight used explicitly for precious metals, and is equivalent to 31.1034768 grams according to the U.K. Royal Mint. It is also slightly heavier than the more common avoirdupois ounce.

Comex, short for Commodity Exchange, is a key marketplace in New York where metals such as gold and silver are traded. Its Indian counterpart, the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), serves as the country's largest commodity derivatives exchange, giving domestic investors exposure to international price movements.

Ventura's head of commodities, NS Ramaswamy, explained the forces behind this surge. "Gold's strategic role in portfolios has strengthened as investors navigate an era of slower global growth, policy uncertainty, and elevated geopolitical risks. With inflationary pressures, a softening US dollar, and anticipated US Fed rate cuts, we see sustained upside potential in gold prices through the remainder of 2025. Our analysis indicates Comex Gold could test the USD 3,600 mark by year-end, supported by strong ETF inflows, steady central bank buying, and robust retail participation in India's gold investment market," he said.

In India, digital gold investments are driving record growth. As per the report, Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) saw holdings rise 42 per cent year-on-year to 66.68 tons as of June 30, 2025. Their Assets Under Management (AUM) jumped 88 per cent to Rs. 64,777 crore, while investor accounts increased 41 per cent to 76.54 lakh. This shift from traditional jewellery buying to technology-enabled investment channels is being led by younger investors, particularly Gen Z, aided by fractional ownership models and fintech-driven platforms.

On the global front, demand for gold stood firm in the second quarter of 2025 at 1,249 tons, reflecting a 3 per cent year-on-year rise. Investment demand and ETF inflows offset weaker jewellery sales. Central banks continued their gold purchases, lifting global reserves to 36,345 tons, with India's holdings at 880 tons.

Gold has remained a resilient investment over the past two decades, delivering positive annual returns in 14 out of 20 years. In the last three years alone, gold has yielded average annual returns of 23 per cent, significantly higher than the Nifty 50's 11 per cent.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
As someone who bought physical gold during Diwali last year, I'm really happy with this news. But I wonder if these high prices will affect wedding season purchases? Many families might reconsider their gold buying plans.
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Arjun K
While the projections look exciting, we should remember that gold prices can be volatile. The 23% average returns mentioned are impressive but past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Diversification is key!
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Nikhil C
The shift to digital gold is revolutionary for Indian investors. Fractional ownership through apps has made gold accessible to middle-class investors who couldn't afford whole pieces. This is financial inclusion at its best!
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Sarah B
Interesting to see how Indian investors are driving global gold demand. The 88% AUM growth in gold ETFs is staggering! Shows how traditional saving habits are merging with modern investment approaches.
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Meera T
My grandmother's gold jewellery that she bought 40 years ago is now worth 10x more. Gold has always been our family's safety net during difficult times. Good to see it performing so well even in modern portfolios 🪙

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