West Asia tensions lead to 3.4% fall in air passenger demand in April: IATA
New Delhi, May 29
The tensions in West Asia have led to a 3.4% fall in air passenger demand in April 2026, according to the International Air Transport Association.
In the data released by the Association, total demand, measured in revenue passenger kilometres (RPK), was down 3.4 per cent compared to April 2025. Excluding the Middle East, demand increased by 1.2%. Total capacity, measured in available seat kilometres (ASK), decreased 2.9% year-on-year. The load factor was 83.1% (-0.4 ppt compared to April 2025), according to a release from IATA.
International demand fell -5.3% compared to April 2025. Excluding the Middle East, demand grew by 1.9%. Capacity was down -5.1% year-on-year, and the load factor was 83.9%, which is a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to April 2025.
Domestic demand was flat compared to April 2025. Capacity increased 0.8% year-on-year. The load factor was 81.9%, which is a decrease of 0.7 percentage points compared to April 2025.
"The 46.6% fall in demand for carriers in the Middle East due to war in the region was so acute that it dragged overall demand down -3.4%. The situation for air transport remains highly volatile. The cost of jet fuel more than doubled in April, which is pushing airfares up. Forward schedule data is showing a reduced offering in the coming months, indicating that airlines are balancing high fuel costs and weaker demand," said Willie Walsh, IATA's Director General.
International RPK fell -5.3%, with capacity falling -5.1%. However, this decline was caused by continuing heavy falls in demand for Middle East carriers.
Excluding the Middle East, RPK increased by 1.9%. North America was flat, and all other regions reported growth. Asia-Pacific airlines achieved a 3.0% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity increased 0.7% year-on-year, and the load factor was 87.5% (+1.9 ppt compared to April 2025), a record high for April, the release noted.
There was a notable slowdown in traffic on the Japan-China corridor due to ongoing political tensions. European carriers saw a 0.9% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity increased 0.3% year-onyear, and the load factor was 84.9% (+0.6 ppt compared to April 2025). Direct traffic between Europe and Asia increased 15.3% as it replaced traffic transiting through the Middle East.
North American carriers saw a 0.0% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity decreased 1.1% year-on-year, and the load factor was 83.9% (+0.9 ppt compared to April 2025).
Middle Eastern carriers saw a -48.1% year-on-year decrease in demand. Capacity fell -38.4% yearon-year, and the load factor was 70.1% (-13.1 ppt compared to April 2025).
Latin American airlines achieved an 8.9% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity climbed 7.2% year-on-year. The load factor was 84.6% (+1.4 ppt compared to April 2025).
African airlines saw a 2.2% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity was up 1.2% year-on-year. The load factor was 77.9% (+0.7 ppt compared to April 2025), as per the release.
Domestic RPK was flat in April compared to April 2025. Growth in Brazil, China, and Japan was balanced out by falls in Australia, India, and the United States. Load factors fell in most of the major markets, barring China and Japan, though it should be noted that capacity in the Japanese market has declined for eight months in a row.
— ANI
Reader Comments
Interesting that Asia-Pacific still grew despite the Middle East slump. India's domestic demand being flat isn't great—maybe people are cutting back on travel due to inflation. The 15.3% jump in direct Europe-Asia traffic shows we're adapting, but it's costing more.
The load factor for Middle East carriers at 70.1% is abysmal. I flew Emirates last month from Mumbai to London via Dubai—the flight was barely half full. Airlines are bleeding money while passengers face higher fares. Government should step in to help stranded workers in Gulf countries.
As someone who travels between Delhi and New York regularly, I'm noticing fares are up at least 20% since last year. The India domestic market being flat is a bit disappointing, but not surprising given the economic pressure. Let's hope this doesn't last too long.
The Japan-China corridor slowdown due to political tensions is concerning for trade. For India, we need to strengthen direct flights to Europe and avoid Middle East hubs. Air India should capitalize on this crisis—more direct routes would benefit our economy.
Tough times for aviation globally. India's load factor at 81.9% is still decent despite the dip. But honestly, government should reduce ATF taxes to help airlines—jet fuel price doubled and we're feeling it in ticket prices. Border tensions affect everyone.
D We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.