Pakistan's Critical Minerals Dream Stalled by Security, Politics & Investment Risks

A new report states Pakistan's ambition to become a supplier of critical minerals to the US is currently more promise than performance due to major domestic hurdles. Persistent security threats from groups like the Baloch Liberation Army and TTP directly impact investor sentiment and operational safety. Furthermore, political polarization and unclear federal-provincial jurisdiction create uncertainty, deterring the long-term capital mining requires. Without stabilizing security, ensuring policy continuity, and providing transparent regulatory frameworks, attracting necessary investment will remain difficult.

Key Points: Pakistan's Critical Minerals Potential Hampered by Instability

  • Security risks from militant groups deter investment
  • Political instability threatens policy continuity
  • Lack of regulatory clarity hampers mining
  • Insufficient verified data on viable reserves
2 min read

Pakistan's current critical mineral moment more promise than performance: Report

Report says Pakistan's rare earths promise to US needs security, political stability & regulatory clarity to become reality, citing investor fears.

"the state of security, politics and the investment climate is the barrier. - The Friday Times report"

New Delhi, Feb 18

Pakistan's push to position itself as a supplier of rare earths and critical minerals to the United States remains only a promise without evidence unless domestic security, political stability and regulatory clarity improve, a new report has said.

The report in Pakistan-based The Friday Times said that despite geological potential including deposits at Reko Diq and reports of rare earth elements in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, "the state of security, politics and the investment climate is the barrier."

In recent months, Balochistan has seen a surge in Baloch Liberation Army attacks. Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) activity in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, along with terror attacks in Islamabad, broadens risk perception to transport corridors and workforce safety.

"The Tira Valley displacement linked to counter-TTP operations underscores how militancy shapes the wider environment in which mining must operate," the report noted.

The escalation in Balochistan has directly affected sentiments of investors who have already spent considerable capital including Chinese investors, the report suggested.

Without stabilising existing commitments, attracting additional capital will remain difficult. Reassuring Beijing through transparent policy, improved security for Chinese personnel and timely resolution of energy payment disputes should be Pakistan's priority now even while courting Washington, it said.

Further internationally verified data on commercially viable rare earth reserves remain limited. "Exploration and certification are still required before large-scale production becomes credible," it added.

The report also flagged provincial politics as another barrier affecting investment inflows as provincial‑federal jurisdiction remains under dispute. Mining requires regulatory clarity over decades, not months, it reminded.

The political polarisation between the current civil-military leadership and the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI)-led opposition create uncertainty over policy continuity. Investors will fear that agreements signed under one dispensation may face renegotiation under another, the report argued.

The report also warned that if security conditions deteriorate, Saudi Arabia's reported interest in acquiring a stake in Reko Diq will not see any follow up.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
It's sad for the ordinary people of Balochistan and KP. Their land has resources, but they see no benefit, only violence and displacement. The report rightly points out how militancy ruins everything. Hope for peace someday. 🙏
R
Rohit P
The China-Pakistan angle is key. If they can't even secure their all-weather ally's investments, what hope do they have with the US or Saudi Arabia? CPEC itself is facing headwinds. This mineral dream looks very distant.
S
Sarah B
From an investment perspective, this is a textbook high-risk, potentially high-reward scenario. But the political and security risks are off the charts. No regulatory clarity and policy uncertainty? That's a deal-breaker for any long-term capital.
K
Karthik V
The report is balanced and factual. We in India have our own challenges, but a stable system is a prerequisite for development. Pakistan's internal conflicts—civil-military, centre-province—are a major bottleneck. Until that's resolved, promises will remain just that.
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Nisha Z
Minerals in the ground don't mean anything if you can't mine them safely or sell them reliably. The report mentions they don't even have verified data! It's all hype right now. They need decades of consistent work, not press releases.

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