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Updated Dec 29, 2025 · 10:55
Business India News Updated Dec 29, 2025

Silver Plunges 8% After Record High, Eyes Best Year Since 1979

Silver prices retreated sharply by up to 8% after hitting a fresh intraday record high above $84 per ounce, snapping a potential seven-day winning streak. The rally, which has seen silver surge approximately 180% in 2025, is being driven by a weaker dollar, Fed rate-cut expectations, and geopolitical tensions. Analysts note that thin holiday trading amplified the price swings, while China's proposed silver export restrictions from 2026 provided a further catalyst. Despite the pullback, silver remains on track for its best annual performance since 1979, with key support and resistance levels identified for MCX futures.

Silver retreats after record intraday high of over $84 per ounce

Mumbai, Dec 29

Silver prices in global markets retreated sharply after touching fresh intraday records of $84 per ounce in the spot market on Monday.

The white metal slipped as much as 8 per cent from its peak due to strong profit booking, snapping what could have been a seventh consecutive day of gains.

March silver futures on MCX was trading up 4.22 per cent intraday (as of 10.10 am), at Rs 2,49,282 per kilogram. Globally, the futures had surged to an intraday high of $82.67 an ounce in early trade, up 7 per cent on top of the 11 per cent jump on Friday - the strongest single‑day gain since 2008.

At those price levels, silver was extending a rally that has eclipsed even the historic supply squeeze seen in October.

Analysts said that thin holiday trading amplified the sharp moves as subdued volumes exaggerated price swings. Tighter inventories and liquidity that can evaporate quickly is supporting the rally.

Silver doesn't have a reserve like gold as the London gold market is underpinned by around $700 billion of bullion that can be lent out in the event of a liquidity squeeze, they reminded.

Even as silver is up about 180 per cent so far in 2025, three trading sessions remain, putting it on track for its best annual performance since 1979 when gains exceeded 200 per cent.

"A weaker dollar index, Fed rate-cut expectations, and rising geopolitical tensions supported the rally. The dollar index fell for the fifth consecutive week on hopes of further US monetary easing. Renewed US-Venezuela tensions have also boosted safe-haven buying," said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd.

China's proposed silver export restrictions from January 2026 sparked a sharp rally in silver, while global uncertainties continue to drive investment flows toward precious metals.

"Silver has support at Rs 2,38,810-Rs 2,37,170 while resistance at Rs 2,41,810- Rs 2,43,470," he added.

— IANS

Reader Comments

Priya S

My mother has been buying silver jewellery every Diwali for years. She always said it's a safer store of value than keeping cash. Looks like her traditional wisdom is paying off big time this year! 📈 Though such sharp corrections are nerve-wracking.

Aman W

The China export restriction news from 2026 is a major factor. It's creating a future supply fear in the market. Smart money is moving in early. But as the article says, silver doesn't have the huge reserve backing like gold, so these swings can be extreme.

Sarah B

Interesting analysis. The point about thin holiday trading amplifying moves is crucial. It's not all fundamental; sometimes it's just a lack of players in the market causing prices to swing wildly. Makes you question the true strength of the rally.

Vikram M

Up 180% in a year! That's phenomenal. Beats most equity returns hands down. But timing the entry and exit is everything. I entered a bit late and now seeing the retreat... feels bad. Should have booked profits when it touched the high.

Karthik V

While the rally is impressive, articles like this often fuel the FOMO. Many retail investors might jump in now after reading about records, just in time for a bigger correction. Media should also stress the risks more prominently, not just the highs.

N We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

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