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Updated Sep 29, 2025 · 20:24
Health News Updated Sep 29, 2025

New blood test to predict risk of liver cirrhosis, cancer within 10 years

Researchers from Karolinska Institutet have developed an innovative blood test that can predict liver disease risk within a decade. The CORE model analyzes simple blood markers like age, sex, and liver enzyme levels to identify potential health risks. With 88% accuracy, this breakthrough could revolutionize early detection of liver cirrhosis and cancer. The study, based on extensive data from over 480,000 people, offers hope for proactive healthcare interventions.

New Delhi, Sep 29

A newly developed blood test may aid in predicting the risk of developing severe liver disease within 10 years, according to a study.

The study, by researchers from the Karolinska Institutet in Sweden, showed that the simple blood analysis, if applied in primary care, may accelerate the detection of cirrhosis and cancer of the liver.

"These are diseases that are growing increasingly common and that have a poor prognosis if detected late," said Rickard Strandberg, affiliated researcher at the Institutet's Department of Medicine, who developed the test.

"Our method can predict the risk of severe liver disease within 10 years and is based on three simple routine blood tests," Strandberg added.

For the study, published in the journal The BMJ, the researchers evaluated how well the method can estimate the risk of severe liver disease.

The model -- CORE -- was produced with advanced statistical methods and is based on five factors: age, sex, and levels of three common liver enzymes (AST, ALT, and GGT), which are commonly measured during regular health checks.

"This is an important step toward being able to offer early screening for liver disease in primary care," said principal investigator Hannes Hagström, adjunct professor at Karolinska Institutet's Department of Medicine.

Hagström noted that even as drug treatment is available for treating people at a high risk of developing liver diseases such as cirrhosis or liver cancer, the new test may have significant potential.

The study is based on data from over 480,000 people in Stockholm who underwent health checks between 1985 and 1996, and were followed for up to 30 years.

The CORE model proved highly accurate and was able to differentiate between people who either did or did not develop the disease in 88 per cent of cases, the team said.

— IANS

Reader Comments

Rohit P

As someone whose father suffered from liver cirrhosis, I wish this test was available earlier. Early detection is everything when it comes to liver diseases. Hope Indian medical authorities take note and implement this.

Sarah B

Great innovation, but I'm concerned about accessibility. Will this reach rural India where liver diseases are often detected too late? The cost factor needs to be addressed for mass adoption.

Vikram M

With the rising cases of fatty liver disease in urban India, this test could be a game-changer. Regular health checkups should include this as standard protocol. Prevention is better than cure! 💪

Ananya R

️While the research is promising, I hope Indian researchers validate these findings for our population. Genetic and lifestyle factors differ significantly between Swedish and Indian populations.

Michael C

Excellent development! The fact that it uses routine blood tests that are already available makes it practical for implementation. Hope insurance companies in India cover this as preventive care.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

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