India's export sector resilient even as geopolitical tensions test global trade stability: FIEO President

ANI June 23, 2025 278 views

India's export sector remains resilient despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, says FIEO President SC Ralhan. While logistics and shipping costs may rise, exporters are diversifying markets and rerouting shipments. Crude oil price volatility is a concern, but India's diversified energy strategy mitigates risks. The government and RBI are ensuring stability, positioning India as a reliable trade partner.

"Our trade with both Iran and Israel, while important, constitutes a small share of our overall export-import basket." – SC Ralhan, FIEO President
New Delhi, June 23: India's export sector remains "resilient and adaptive" at a time geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, pose certain challenges to global trade dynamics, President of Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) SC Ralhan said.

Key Points

1

FIEO expects short-term logistics challenges in Gulf trade

2

Indian exporters adapt via rerouting and market shifts

3

Crude oil volatility monitored but India diversifies energy sources

4

Government and RBI safeguard macroeconomic stability

"Our trade with both Iran and Israel, while important, constitutes a small share of our overall export-import basket. The government and industry are jointly monitoring developments to ensure minimal disruption," the exporters' body chief said.

FIEO said it anticipates some short-term impact on demand and logistics, particularly in the Gulf region, which serves as a crucial hub for Indian exports.

"Increased shipping costs, longer transit times, and rising marine insurance premiums may add pressure, especially in price-sensitive sectors," he added.

However, he noted that Indian exporters have repeatedly demonstrated agility in rerouting shipments, diversifying markets, and managing financial exposures.

"The robust MSME and large-scale exporters, coupled with strong government support mechanisms, will help cushion any near-term shocks," he noted.

Crude oil price volatility is being closely watched, as it can influence inflation and logistics costs. However, India's diversified energy procurement strategy and the Reserve Bank's proactive stance help maintain liquidity and macroeconomic stability.

Over the years, India has diversified its energy supplies, and a large volume of them do not come through the Strait of Hormuz now.

Oil Marketing Companies have supplies for several weeks and continue to receive energy supplies from several routes. Petroleum Minister Hardeep Puri vowed his ministry will take all necessary steps to ensure the stability of fuel supplies to citizens.

"Overall, while there are temporary headwinds, we see this as an opportunity for Indian exporters to explore alternate routes, strengthen regional partnerships, and consolidate India's role as a reliable trade partner in uncertain times," the FIEO President said. The FIEO said it is committed to supporting exporters with timely guidance, market intelligence, and policy advocacy to ensure continued momentum in the global trade journey.

Reader Comments

Here are 6 diverse Indian perspective comments for the article:
R
Rajesh K.
This shows why India's "Look East" policy was so important. Our trade with ASEAN countries is now more valuable than ever with Middle East tensions. Smart move by previous governments to diversify our trade partners. 🇮🇳
P
Priya M.
Good to hear about the resilience, but what about small exporters? The article mentions MSMEs but doesn't detail specific support measures. Rising shipping costs could wipe out their thin margins. Government should announce concrete steps soon.
A
Amit S.
Our forex reserves are at record highs (over $600 billion!) which gives us great cushion against oil price shocks. RBI deserves credit for smart management. This is why macroeconomic stability matters more than short-term political gains.
S
Sunita R.
As someone whose husband works in shipping logistics, I can confirm the rerouting challenges are real. But Indian companies are adapting fast - we've started using more East African ports and even Vladivostok route. Jugaad at its best! 😊
V
Vikram J.
While the optimism is good, we shouldn't ignore that 15% of our oil still comes through Hormuz. We need to accelerate our renewable energy transition and electric vehicle plans to reduce this vulnerability long-term.
N
Neha P.
The real test will be maintaining export quality while managing these costs. Global buyers won't pay more just because our logistics got expensive. Hope FIEO's "timely guidance" includes quality control measures too.

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