India Stocks Retreat: US Trade Deal Delay and Russian Oil Sanctions Spook Markets

Indian stock markets started strong but couldn't maintain momentum throughout the trading session. The optimism over a potential US-India trade deal was overshadowed by concerns about Russian oil sanctions and profit booking. Both Sensex and Nifty gave up most of their intraday gains, closing nearly flat for the day. Despite the pullback, market analysts note that indices remain close to their all-time highs with improved domestic market sentiment.

Key Points: Indian Stocks Erase Gains on US Trade Deal Delay Russian Oil

  • Sensex closed at 84,556 points after reaching intraday high of 85,290 points
  • Nifty corrected over 200 points from day's peak to close nearly flat
  • US sanctions on Russian crude raised concerns about India's import bill inflation
  • Profit booking by investors contributed to the market's sharp decline
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India stocks erase early gains over possible delay in US trade deal finalisation

Indian stock indices surrendered early gains amid US trade deal uncertainty and Russian oil sanctions. Sensex and Nifty closed nearly flat after profit booking weighed on markets.

"Domestic equities started on a positive note; however, they pared early gains as investors booked profits following sanctions on Russian oil and the possible postponement of India-US trade negotiations - Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited"

New Delhi, October 23

Indian stock indices surrendered most of their gains from Thursday as the session progressed, mainly due to US sanctions on key Russian crude majors and indications that the US deal may not be finalised soon, analysts said. Profit booking by investors also likely weighed on the stock indices.

"The US sanctions on Russian oil majors also raised concerns that India may have to curtail purchases of discounted Russian crude and turn to costlier alternatives, potentially straining the import bill and inflation outlook," said Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, a SEBI-registered online trading and wealth tech firm.

The market rose sharply in the first half on optimism over a potential India-U.S. trade deal but surrendered most of its gains toward the close, weighed down by a sharp decline in Reliance Industries after the company reportedly indicated plans to recalibrate Russian oil imports, the CEO of Enrich Money added.

Sensex closed the day at 84,556.40 points, up 130.05 points or 0.15 per cent, from an intra-day high of 85,290 points. Similarly, Nifty closed at 25,888.90 points, up just 20.30 points or 0.078 per cent, from the day's high of 26,104 points.

Despite the strong start, the optimism was short-lived, Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities.

"The Nifty surged to an intraday high of 26104 but failed to sustain momentum, eventually giving up gains and correcting over 200 points. The index closed the session almost flat, reflecting caution among market participants," Shah added.

It is, however, notable that the indices are just shy away from their previous all-time highs.

So far in 2025, Sensex and Nifty accumulated returns of about 8-9 per cent, on a cumulative basis.

In 2024, Sensex and Nifty accumulated a growth of about 9-10 per cent each. In 2023, Sensex and Nifty gained 16-17 per cent, on a cumulative basis. In 2022, they gained a mere 3 per cent each.

"Domestic equities started on a positive note; however, they pared early gains as investors booked profits following sanctions on Russian oil and the possible postponement of India-US trade negotiations," said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited.

India and the US initiated talks for a just, balanced, and mutually beneficial Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in March this year, aiming to complete the first stage of the Agreement by the fall of 2025.

Meanwhile, IT stocks advanced as sentiment improved after Trump's softer tone on H1B visas.

"FIIs are gradually returning to Indian markets, encouraged by expectations of earnings rebound in H2FY26 supported by festive demand, tax benefits and GST reductions. As the undercurrent vibes of the domestic market have improved due to a possible India-US deal and a rise in consumer demand, the broad market is expected to do much better henceforth," Nair added.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
Our government should focus more on self-reliance rather than depending on US deals. The Russian oil situation shows how vulnerable we are to international politics. Make in India should be the priority! 🇮🇳
A
Arjun K
The IT sector boost is good news for tech professionals like me. Hope the positive sentiment continues and we see more job opportunities in the sector. 🤞
S
Sarah B
As someone who invests in mutual funds, I'm concerned about how these geopolitical issues affect my long-term returns. The market seems too sensitive to external factors these days.
V
Vikram M
The government should be more transparent about these trade negotiations. Common investors like us get caught in volatility because we don't have clear information. Better communication would help stabilize market sentiment.
K
Kavya N
Despite the day's volatility, the fact that we're close to all-time highs is reassuring. Long-term investors shouldn't panic over daily fluctuations. SIP continues! 💪

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