Key Points

HSBC has given Indian equities a vote of confidence by upgrading them to overweight. The bank believes valuations have become attractive after a period of underperformance. It highlights that supportive government policy and resilient local investors are key positive factors. While foreign funds have been sellers, HSBC suggests the market is well-positioned for a rebound.

Key Points: HSBC Upgrades Indian Equities Overweight Citing Policy and Valuations

  • HSBC sees minimal profit impact on Indian firms from recent US tariff changes
  • Upgrade driven by attractive valuations and positive government policy support
  • Resilient local retail investors have offset foreign fund outflows this year
  • The report notes crowded AI trades in Korea and Taiwan and political concerns in ASEAN
2 min read

HSBC upgrades Indian equities to overweight from neutral

HSBC upgrades India to overweight, citing attractive valuations, resilient local investors, and supportive government policy as key drivers for equity markets.

"Valuations are no longer a concern, as government policy is becoming a positive factor for equities - HSBC Global Investment Research"

New Delhi, Sep 24

Indian equities now look attractive on a regional basis, said HSBC Global Investment Research on Wednesday, upgrading the domestic market to overweight from neutral.

It said that US tariffs will have little impact on the profits of most listed companies.

Although foreign funds have withdrawn significant amounts from India in the last 12 months, a period in which the market has seriously underperformed, local investors have remained resilient, according to the report.

"While earnings growth expectations can fall a little further, valuations are no longer a concern, as the government policy is becoming a positive factor for equities, and most foreign funds are lightly positioned," the global investment research firm said.

Foreign investors remained net sellers in Asia this year, which is typically unfavourable for regional stock markets.

Yet the market is up by an average of 20 per cent due to cash inflow from local retail investors. However, after a strong run in Chinese equities, especially in Hong Kong, further momentum is uncertain.

"Valuations are elevated, but not excessive. However, with retail investors sitting on $22 trillion in cash, some of which is gradually being re-allocated to stocks, we expect Chinese equities to grind slowly higher," HSBC stated.

In Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, investors are interested in playing AI through these markets, especially in Korea and Taiwan, which are now very crowded trades.

Valuations have run up and in Japan, the weaker Yen has also supported equities.

Corporate governance is a positive long-term theme in Japan and Korea, but it won't carry markets on its own. After the recent run-up in equities, we downgraded Korea to underweight in mid-August.

"Meanwhile, ASEAN's investor confidence is low. Politics dominates the headlines in Thailand and Indonesia; for the latter, fiscal prudence is on the radar screen after a cabinet reshuffle," the investment research firm said.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
Finally some positive outlook from international brokers. The government's policy stability is indeed helping. But I hope this upgrade translates into actual FII inflows soon.
A
Aditya G
Interesting analysis. While HSBC is optimistic, I'm concerned about global headwinds affecting our markets too. The US tariffs might not impact directly, but secondary effects could be there.
S
Sarah B
As an NRI investor, this makes me reconsider my portfolio allocation. The Indian market seems to be finding its footing after the correction. Might be a good entry point for long-term investment.
K
Karthik V
The $22 trillion cash with retail investors globally is massive! If even a small portion flows into Indian equities, we could see significant upside. Bullish on banking and infrastructure stocks.
M
Michael C
While the upgrade is positive, I'd like to see more concrete data on earnings growth. Valuations might be reasonable, but without earnings support, the rally might not sustain.
N
Neha E
Good to see international recognition of Indian markets' strength. Our domestic investors have truly become the backbone of the equity market. Jai Hind! 🇮🇳

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