Ex-US Intel Officer Warns China May Attack India Amid Taiwan Focus

A former US Marine intelligence officer, Grant Newsham, cautions that China might launch a military attack against India while global attention is fixated on Taiwan. He describes Chinese public relations as inherently deceptive and warns against predictable strategic assumptions. Newsham references the Galwan clash as evidence of China's willingness for violent confrontation with India, despite its military being largely untested in full-scale war. The warning follows a Pentagon report highlighting China's territorial claims over Arunachal Pradesh as part of its national rejuvenation goals.

Key Points: China Could Strike India, Not Taiwan, Warns Ex-US Marine Officer

  • China's strategy may involve surprise attack on India
  • World's focus on Taiwan creates opportunity elsewhere
  • Chinese PR and actions are fundamentally deceptive
  • PLA, though untested in major war, trains rigorously for offensive action
4 min read

"When all eyes are on Taiwan, China could strike elsewhere, possibly India," says Ex-US Marine intel officer

Former US Marine intel officer Grant Newsham warns China might surprise-attack India while world focuses on Taiwan, citing deceptive PR and PLA readiness.

"When all the focus is on Taiwan... you do well to look in other places as well. - Grant Newsham"

New Delhi, February 4

With a US Pentagon report warning India of China's strategy of achieving the "great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation" by 2049, Grant Newsham, Ex-US Marine intel officer has cautioned India on trusting China and its intent. Newsham believes that when all eyes are on Taiwan, China may look to attack some other country, possibly India, and it must be forewarned.

In a conversation with ANI, Newsham said that as Chinese President is into PLA rejigs, he might want to test them. For that matter, as the world looks at Taiwan with bated breath, Xi Jinping might choose to attack India instead.

"I hope somebody's ready for that. You know, years ago, a foreign reporter told me, this is back when foreign reporters were actually good, when the name meant something. And he said, you know, you should always look where everybody else isn't. And when all the focus is on Taiwan, and that's all the talk, and people are saying, well, we've got two years or 2027, or we have two weeks. But if you're focusing on that, well, you do well to look in other places as well," he said.

Newsham said that everything about Chinese PR is deceptive, and called upon the world to be alert, especially some place that is of interest to India.

"Everything about the PR of the Chinese and not just the Chinese communist system is deceptive. And it's part and parcel of how they operate. So while everyone's looking at Taiwan, expecting them to do a certain thing at roughly a certain time, well, I wouldn't be surprised to be surprised. And India is not a bad place to do that. It could be the Korean Peninsula, southern Japan, the Philippines. You can think of a few places," he said.

"But if you just think Taiwan and you get all greased up and everything's looking at that, well, you're setting yourself up. And that's where the smart people can catch their breath and step back and look elsewhere, see where they might go. And India has got to be on that list or someplace that is of great interest to India," Newsham added.

Newsham said that looking somewhere where the world isn't is the best advice to follow.

"And you'd have to do that. And I think that the US side, I think we're fortunate, and I'm not being nice, it's actually to have a country that is willing to look after itself. And we haven't had many of those that are. And I don't need to tell India what the China threat is. Although, like us, there's plenty of people in India who would tell you there is no threat. But that's certainly on the list. But don't look where everyone else isn't. Or how do I say it? Looking where everyone else isn't is the best approach. And its sort of common sense, but human nature is what it is. And we tend to get a fixation on whatever we think is going to happen and where. But it could be wrong," he said.

Newsham said that it is true that the Chinese have not fought a war for long, but they had a violent face-off with the Indian army in Galwan, Ladhak.

"I would also note, and it's an important thing because you hear it all the time, that while the Chinese haven't fought a war forever, a real war, or since maybe the Korean War, the Vietnam shoot-up, or gunning down some Vietnamese Marines and sailors on a standing knee-deep in water down in the Paracel Islands in the 80s. You had hand-to-hand combat with Indian troops. Oh, that's true. The Chinese came out on the short end of that. Yes. And probably on the much shorter end than was announced. And a war against India, of course. But you hear it. They're not a tested force," he said.

Newsham said that the Chinese continue to train rigorously and can their army could be called upon to launch any offensive.

"If you know what you're about, you train well, you can catch on to what needs done very quickly. So I tend to, I don't take much comfort in that fact that the Chinese military hasn't done, hasn't fought an actual war for a long time. And the Chinese themselves talk about the peace disease, which means that they haven't fought. But the military really only has to be good enough to do a certain thing at a certain place at a certain time," he said.

Earlier, a Pentagon report submitted to the US Congress has flagged China's claim over India's Arunachal Pradesh as part of its stated "core interests", underscoring Beijing's broader national strategy aimed at achieving the "great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation" by 2049.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

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Sarah B
The "peace disease" point is interesting. Just because they haven't fought a major war doesn't mean they aren't capable. Their constant drills and modernization are clear signals. India needs to keep its friends close and its vigilance higher.
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Vikram M
The warning about looking where others aren't is classic military strategy. While the world obsesses over Taiwan, our Himalayas are just as tense. We must not take our eyes off the ball. Atmanirbharta in defence is not just a slogan, it's a necessity.
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Priyanka N
While the threat is real, we also need to be careful about narratives that could push us towards unnecessary escalation. Diplomacy must remain a strong tool. Not every warning from a foreign ex-officer aligns perfectly with our national interest.
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Rohit P
Absolutely correct! China's strategy has always been about deception. Remember 1962. Their "core interest" in Arunachal is a blatant lie. Our soldiers showed their mettle in Galwan. The nation stands with our armed forces. 💪
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Michael C
From a strategic perspective, this makes sense. Diversion is a key tactic. India's growing global stature and partnership with Quad makes it a logical pressure point for Beijing if they want to test US alliances in the region.

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