Exit Polls Can Be Contradictory, Says CPI(M) Leader MA Baby on Kerala

CPI(M) General Secretary MA Baby stated that exit polls can give contradictory results, but the Kerala fight is very close. He expressed hope that the LDF could still secure a majority despite polls projecting a UDF win. Baby accused the Election Commission of attempting to help the BJP in West Bengal, warning of potential rigging during counting. Exit polls also project a DMK win in Tamil Nadu and a strong performance by Vijay's TVK.

Key Points: Exit Polls Contradictory: CPI(M) Leader MA Baby

  • MA Baby says exit polls can be contradictory
  • Kerala assembly fight is very close, LDF may still get majority
  • Accuses Election Commission of helping BJP in West Bengal
  • Exit polls project UDF win in Kerala, BJP lead in West Bengal
4 min read

"At times exit polls give contradictory results": CPI (M) General Secretary MA Baby

CPI(M) General Secretary MA Baby says exit polls give contradictory results, but Kerala fight is close. He also accuses EC of helping BJP in West Bengal.

"The Exit polls give at times contradictory results...In the case of Keralam, it could be very close to reality because it's a very close fight. - MA Baby"

Thiruvananthapuram, May 1

CPI General Secretary MA Baby on Thursday said the exit polls at times give "contradictory results" after pollsters projected LDF defeat in Keralam Assembly elections.

"The Exit polls give at times contradictory results...In the case of Keralam, it could be very close to reality because it's a very close fight. There would still be the possibility of us getting a majority," Baby told ANI.

Exit polls in Keralam projected that the UDF is poised to unseat the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), bringing its 10-year rule in the state to an end.

Axis My India projected a comfortable majority for UDF and said it is poised to win 78 to 90 seats in the 140-member assembly. It said the Left Democratic Front would win 49 to 62 seats and the BJP-led NDA zero to three seats.

According to People's Pulse, the ruling LDF is poised to win 55 to 60 seats, UDF 75 to 85 seats and NDA 0-3 seats.JVC projected that UDF would win with 72 to 84 seats, LDF 52-60 seats and BJP-led NDA three to eight seats.

Speaking about the exit polls of Tamil Nadu and West Bengal, MA Baby said, "In Tamil Nadu, the exit poll predicts DMK-led alliance victory. But there is one exit poll with regard to Tamil Nadu also, which says that Vijay's outfit may get a majority. So it's not a uniform verdict coming from Tamil Nadu, too. In the case of West Bengal, I don't think that through a genuine electoral process, the BJP would be able to get a majority there."

MA Baby further accused the Election Commission of trying to help the BJP in th assembly elections, expressing concerns there will be "elements of rigging" during the counting on May 4.

"The way in which Special intensive revision had been implemented in West Bengal. Everywhere, the Election Commission and CEC Ganesh Kumar are trying to help the BJP...There would be elements of rigging in some places that cannot be ruled out. So we have to wait and see how the entire electoral process has functioned in the state of West Bengal," he said.

Exit polls projected that the BJP-led NDA was poised to win Assam and the Congress-led UDF Keralam with the most surveys also stating that the BJP is on its way to form its first government in West Bengal.

The surveys predicted that the DMK-led alliance would again return to power in Tamil Nadu, but Axis My India projected that actor-turned politician Vijay's TVK is set for a blockbuster performance in the southern state and is poised to get as much vote share as DMK in its debut election.

Matrize predicted BJP getting 146-161 seats in West Bengal, TMC 125-140 seats and others 6-10 seats. JVC projected that BJP would get 138-159 seats, the Trinamool Congress 131-152 seats, Congress 0-2 seats, Left parties 0-1 seat and others 0-1 seat. P-Marq exit poll projected 150-175 seats for BJP, 118-138 for Trinamool Congress and 2-6 for others. People Pulse projected 95-100 seats for BJP, 177-187 seats for Trinamool Congress, 1-3 seats for Congress and 0-1 seat for Left parties. Poll Diary exit poll projected 142-147 seats for BJP, 99-127 for Trinamool Congress, 3-5 for Congress, 2-3 for Left parties and 0-1 for others.

In Tamil Nadu, Axis My India exit poll projected that Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) would get 98-120 seats in its debut election, DMK-led alliance 92-100 seats and the five-party alliance led by BJP getting 22-32 seats.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next Chief Minister. While Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those polled, Vijay got the support of 37 per cent.

Several other exit polls predicted that the alliance led by the ruling DMK will return to power in the state.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Ma Baby's comments about EC favoring BJP are concerning. We need free and fair elections, not allegations. But yes, exit polls can be contradictory - Axis My India showing TVK leading in TN is surprising. DMK has strong ground support.
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James A
I follow Indian politics closely. The variety in exit polls shows how complex these elections are. In Bengal, BJP's predicted rise is interesting but TMC has strong regional appeal. Counting day will be crucial.
A
Arjun K
Ma Baby's statement about rigging is serious. We must ensure EVMs are tamper-proof. But his dismissal of exit polls shows desperation - LDF has been in power for 10 years, people naturally want change. Voters have spoken through these polls.
S
Siddharth J
Interesting how Axis My India shows Vijay's TVK doing well in TN. That would be a huge upset if true! But most polls give DMK the edge. In Kerala, UDF seems set to return. Let's see if the ground reality matches. 🤔
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Lisa P
Election season is always exciting in India! The variation in exit poll numbers shows how unpredictable things can be. I think Kerala will go to UDF, Bengal is too close to call. The voter turnout will tell the real story.

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