Silver's 200% Rally Boosts Gold's Near-Term Appeal: Report

A report from Motilal Oswal Financial Services states that silver's exceptional 200% rally over the past year has sharply compressed the gold-silver ratio. This reset suggests the near-term risk-reward equation may now favour gold for its relative stability. Analysts view this not as a negative call on silver but as a risk-managed reallocation strategy after its aggressive up move. The report adds that expanding global liquidity, particularly in the US and China, historically boosts demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

Key Points: Silver Rally Favours Gold for Near-Term Hedge: MOFSL

  • Silver surged 200% vs gold's 80%
  • Gold-silver ratio fell from 127 to ~50
  • Near-term risk-reward shifts to gold
  • Strategy is risk-managed reallocation
  • Global liquidity expansion supports safe havens
2 min read

Silver's exceptional 200 pc rally boosts near term case for gold: Report

Silver's 200% surge compresses gold-silver ratio, shifting near-term risk-reward in favour of gold for stability, says Motilal Oswal report.

"the recent rally has also increased near-term volatility - Navneet Damani"

New Delhi, Jan 23

Silver's exceptional rally of over 200 per cent in the last 12 months sharply outperforming gold's 80 per cent surge has created a condition in favour of yellow metal in the near term, a new report has said.

The report from Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) said that the current gold-silver ratio favours the yellow metal after silver's outsized run.

The sharp outperformance of silver over has led to a "significant compression in the gold-silver ratio, which has fallen from pandemic highs of 127 to around 50 at the start of 2026," the report mentioned.

This reset suggests that while the long-term outlook for precious metals remains constructive, the near-term risk-reward equation may now be shifting in favour of gold after silver's outsized run.

"While we remain positive on both metals and silver continues to have long-term upside backed by industrial demand and tight physical market conditions, the recent rally has also increased near-term volatility," said Navneet Damani, Head of Research Commodities and Manav Modi, Commodities Analyst, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Damani maintained that in this phase of silver's sharp outperformance, a higher allocation to gold can help manage fluctuations while staying invested in precious metals.

Silver showed more volatility with sharper price swings, while gold continues to offer relatively better stability-making it a preferred near-term hedge in uncertain market conditions, the report said.

Silver's sharp surge of over 200 per cent, from Rs 60,000 to Rs 3,20,000, could lead to a phase of consolidation at elevated levels or rebalancing by market participants becomes more likely.

The brokerage emphasised that the view is not a negative call on silver, but a risk-managed reallocation strategy after an aggressive up move.

Global silver ETFs saw outflows of over 3 million ounces in 2026, while gold ETFs experienced comparatively steadier inflows.

Global liquidity is expanding, the report said, citing an increase of money supply in the US and China, with the latter's money supply growing over 8 per cent YoY - conditions that historically boost demand for safe‑haven assets such as gold.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

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Priya S
Wow, 200% rally for silver! 😲 But honestly, seeing it go from 60k to 3.2 lakh per kg is making me nervous. Maybe it's time to book some profits and put it in gold, especially before the wedding season. Gold always has demand here.
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Nikhil C
As someone who invested in silver ETFs last year, this is a timely warning. The outflows mentioned are concerning. The report is right—it's not about being negative on silver, but managing risk. Might rebalance my portfolio as suggested.
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Sarah B
Interesting perspective. In the West, we often look at these metals purely as financial assets. The cultural weight gold carries in India as a store of value and for weddings must make this analysis even more relevant for local markets.
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Rohit P
Gold is always king in India, no question. But let's not forget silver's industrial use is growing with solar panels and electronics. Long term, both have potential. But for now, after such a crazy run, taking some money off the silver table is smart.
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Kavya N
The mention of global liquidity expanding is crucial. With the US and China printing more money, it's natural for people to turn to tangible assets. In India, we understand this instinctively—physical gold over paper currency any day.
M
Manish T

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