RBI to Use Revised CPI, GDP Data in April Policy Projections, Says Governor

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that the central bank's upcoming April monetary policy projections will incorporate the revised base year and updated methodology for the Consumer Price Index and Gross Domestic Product. He clarified that while the methodological changes are significant for coverage and volatility, they are not substantial enough by themselves to warrant a change in the inflation target, a matter still under examination. The Governor welcomed the updates, noting they will better reflect household consumption patterns and help reduce volatility in inflation estimates. He also addressed banking sector health, asserting that banks have sufficient capital and are well-positioned to meet the economy's credit needs despite high credit-deposit ratios.

Key Points: RBI Governor on Revised CPI, GDP Base & Inflation Target

  • Revised CPI/GDP base in April projections
  • Inflation target change under review
  • Updates to reflect consumption patterns better
  • Banks have sufficient capital, says Governor
2 min read

RBI will factor revised CPI, GDP base in April policy projections: Governor

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra says revised CPI & GDP base year data will be factored into April policy. Inflation target revision under examination.

"The revised framework would be taken into account in the RBI's next set of projections to be released during the April monetary policy. - Sanjay Malhotra"

New Delhi, February 23

Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra on Monday said the revision of inflation targeting range following the CPI base year update is under examination.

However, he said, "while the methodological changes are material in terms of coverage, representativeness and volatility, they are 'not substantial' enough by themselves to necessitate a change in the inflation target."

During a press conference after the customary post-Budget meeting with finance minister, RBI governor responded to a query on whether the inflation targeting range would be revised following the CPI base year update, he said the matter is under examination.

"The RBI had earlier published a discussion paper and submitted its recommendations to the government. The decision on the target would be announced by the authorities," he said.

Governor Malhotra said the Reserve Bank's upcoming projections will reflect the revised base year and updated methodology of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

"The revised framework would be taken into account in the RBI's next set of projections to be released during the April monetary policy," he told.

He welcomed the updates, noting that the changes would better reflect Indian households' consumption expenditure patterns and help reduce volatility.

"The methodology also has been changed, which will help in better estimating CPI inflation," he said.

Further speaking on the capital adequacy, the RBI Governor said the banks have sufficient capital.

"Banks have sufficient funds and they are very well positioned to be able to meet their needs, as well as the credit needs of Indian economy," he said.

The Governor was responding to a question on challenges that banks are facing on keeping up on the deposit side amid credit-deposit ratios at almost record highs for several lenders.

He said, "The growth in deposit and credit to hand-in-hand. They are very highly correlated as every Rupee of credit creates a rupee of deposit. But there are business cycles, there are leakages as a result of which the growth rates for short periods of time the deposit and credit can be dissimilar."

"It is a natural thing. Deposit rates have gone up now because credit rates have gone up. Moreover, other than deposits, there are other means of borrowings that the banks rely on. The banks will be in full position to meet whatever are the credit needs," he said.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Good to hear the Governor's reassurance about banks having sufficient capital. As a small business owner, access to credit is crucial. But I hope these methodological changes don't become an excuse to downplay the real inflation we feel at the vegetable market every day. 🍅🧅
V
Vikram M
"Not substantial enough to change the inflation target" – this is the key takeaway. The RBI is signaling stability in its policy framework, which is positive for long-term investors. The focus should remain on bringing inflation within the 4% band.
R
Rohit P
Reducing volatility in CPI data is a welcome step. Frequent and sharp revisions make financial planning very difficult for salaried people like us. Hope the April policy gives clear guidance on interest rates.
S
Sarah B
Interesting to see the technical details being discussed so openly. The point about credit creating deposits is fundamental banking. As an observer of emerging markets, India's transparent policy process is commendable.
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Nikhil C
While the update is necessary, I have a respectful criticism. The RBI and government must ensure the new consumption data is collected robustly from across India, not just urban centers. Rural inflation dynamics are very different and must be represented accurately.
M
Meera T
Finally! The old

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