US bond rout deepens as 30-year yield spikes to highest since 2007
Washington DC, May 20
Yields on the US government's longest-dated bonds shot up to their highest levels since 2007 on fears of inflation rising amid uncertainty around the Iran war and no clarity on when the critical Strait of Hormuz will open.
The 30-year bond yields rose seven basis points to 5.20% on Tuesday, indicating how jittery the investors are as concerns spike over price rise and a subsequent hawkish US Fed raising interest rates. The new US Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh takes over the reins of the most powerful central bank in the world on Friday.
The bond rout was seen in the European and Japanese markets, especially after a lacklustre China trip by Trump, where he failed to get any significant headway on the Iran front.
Yields on the benchmark 10-year bonds, which have an impact on the mortgage rates, surged to their highest level in over a year to about 4.67%.
Investors are demanding higher yields as they fear rising inflation could chip away at their returns. Traders are betting that an interest rate hike could come as soon as this year, a CNN report said. Concerns around the rising government deficit are also prompting investors to seek higher returns on longer-dated bonds.
The US consumer prices in April rose highest in the last three years to 3.8% as the impact of higher gasoline prices starts taking a toll on the economy. Oil prices have spiked after the Iran war started and have remained highly volatile since then.
Rising yields threaten that borrowing costs could go higher for the US government, which is already confronting rising deficits.
Higher yields are likely to cause consternation for the US President Trump, who is vying for interest rate cuts that also led to public disagreement with outgoing Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. He is leaning on the incoming Fed chief Kevin Warsh to cut interest rates. But that looks unlikely at the moment as inflation fears stoke worries for both households and corporations.
Higher yields may not bode well for equities as investors could shift to bonds seeking higher returns. Higher interest rates also mean that the US economy, which has done fairly well, could see some slowdown.
— ANI
Reader Comments
As an Indian investor with some US bond holdings, this is worrying. But let's be honest - the US has been printing money like there's no tomorrow, and now the chickens are coming home to roost. The Iran war is a catastrophe they created themselves. Higher yields mean higher EMIs for home loans here too, indirectly. 😐
Trump wanting rate cuts while inflation is at 3.8% is peak irony! That man thinks the economy is a reality show he can script. Meanwhile, we in India are watching our own RBI navigate this mess. Global markets are all interconnected - when America sneezes, the world catches a cold. Stay cautious, folks.
I work in IT and our company has exposure to US markets. This bond rout is scary because it could mean reduced spending by American clients. But I think India's domestic demand and our focus on Atmanirbhar Bharat can help us weather this storm better than in 2008. Let's see how the new Fed chief handles it.
The real issue is the geopolitics - Iran war, Hormuz Strait closure, China tensions. The US is fighting too many battles at once. For India, this means higher oil prices will hit our import bill hard. 😬 The government needs to fast-track renewable energy projects and strategic petroleum reserves. Markets won't stabilize until there's peace.
As an American living in Mumbai, I can tell you most people back home don't even understand what bond yields mean. They'll only feel it when mortgage rates spike. It's frustrating that politicians play games with the economy while ordinary people suffer. India's banking system seems more
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