India to Grow 6-8% Annually for Next 5 Years, Says Minister Vaishnaw at Davos

Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw forecasts India will sustain 6-8% real GDP growth and 10-13% nominal growth over the next five years, supported by moderate inflation. He highlighted significant improvements in ease of doing business, such as reducing telecom tower installation permissions from 270 days to just 7. At Davos, Vaishnaw also contested an IMF classification, asserting India is a top-tier AI economy based on talent and preparedness. Industry leaders at the CII session emphasized diversifying trade and raising per capita income as key goals for India's future.

Key Points: India's Economic Growth Forecast: 6-8% Real, 10-13% Nominal

  • Strong 5-year growth forecast
  • Ease of business reforms highlighted
  • AI leadership claim vs IMF
  • Diversifying global trade relationships
3 min read

India to grow 6 to 8% in real terms, 10 to 13% nominal in next 5 years: Ashwini Vaishnaw

Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw projects robust Indian economic growth for the next five years, highlighting reforms and AI leadership at WEF Davos.

"India will continue to grow 6 to 8% in real terms and 10 to 13% in nominal terms - Ashwini Vaishnaw"

Davos, January 21

Union Minister of Electronics and Information Technology, Ashwini Vaishnaw, on Wednesday said India will continue to grow 6 to 8% in real terms and 10 to 13% in nominal terms in the next five years.

Speaking at the session on 'Bet on India - Bank on the Future' organised by Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) in association with EY coinciding with the World Economic Forum (WEF) 2026 at Davos, Vaishnaw spoke of the government's efforts towards ease of doing business.

"India will continue to grow 6 to 8% in real terms and 10 to 13% in nominal terms, supported by moderate inflation and strong growth," he said.

The Minister highlighted the importance of simplification of permissions and noted that the average time for installation of telecom tower permission has decreased from 270 days to 7 days, with 89% permissions coming in zero time.

He further highlighted that there is a need to bridge the gap between the intent and the functioning.

Vaishnaw also discussed the importance of communicating challenges amongst the industry members, mentioning standardisation of data localisation norms across the US and Europe.

Rajiv Memani, President, CII and Regional Managing Partner, Africa-India Region, EY, called for increasing India's per capita income by at least five times by 2047.

He highlighted India's strategy to diversify its trade relationships, noting that agreements with regions such as the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the United Kingdom are becoming increasingly important, and also pointed out the significant reforms undertaken domestically such as labour reforms and the implementation of GST, which lowered tax rates on consumer food products.

Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII said, "This discussion is particularly timely. As the global economy navigates uncertainty, fragmentation, and rapid technological change, India stands out as a market of scale, stability, and long-term opportunity."

Earlier in Davos, Ashwini Vaishnaw rejected the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva's suggestion that India belongs to a second tier of AI economies, saying that India is clearly in the first group globally.

"I don't know what the IMF criteria has been, but Stanford places India as third in terms of AI penetration, in terms of AI preparedness, and in terms of AI talent," he said during a World Economic Forum (WEF) panel discussion.

Addressing the IMF chief directly regarding the classification, he stated, "I don't think your classification in the second book is right. It's actually in the first."

The Union Minister detailed India's comprehensive strategy across the five layers of AI architecture, which include the application, model, chip, infrastructure, and energy layers. He noted that India is making significant progress in all these sectors to ensure its independence in the global tech landscape.

Vaishnaw emphasised that India is charting its own course rather than strictly aligning with the paradigms set by the United States or China.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Good to see the confidence, but I hope this growth translates to better jobs and higher incomes for the common person. The five-fold increase in per capita income by 2047 is the real goal we should be focused on.
R
Rohit P
Love the pushback on the IMF's AI classification! Why should Western institutions always get to define the tiers? India has the talent and the scale to be a leader, not a follower, in technology. Jai Hind!
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Sarah B
The focus on bridging the gap between intent and functioning is crucial. Many policies sound great on paper but get stuck in implementation. If they can fix that, the growth story will be more inclusive.
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Vikram M
Charting our own course in AI instead of copying US or China is the right approach. We have unique problems that need indigenous solutions. The five-layer strategy sounds comprehensive. Hope it gets proper funding and execution.
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Karthik V
While the numbers are promising, we must ensure this growth is sustainable and doesn't widen the urban-rural divide. Also, nominal growth of 10-13% with moderate inflation means real growth might be at the lower end of that 6-8% range. A bit of cautious optimism is needed.
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Michael C

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

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