G-24 Warns Global Growth to Slow as Conflicts, Supply Disruptions Bite

The G-24 has warned of a sharp deterioration in global economic conditions, projecting a decline in growth for 2026. Conflicts, particularly in the Middle East, are disrupting energy markets and supply chains, taking a significant toll on an already weak global economy. The group highlighted rising inflation risks, pressure on oil-importing nations, and tighter financial conditions limiting capital flows to developing countries. It called for strengthening the global financial safety net, IMF quota reforms, and warned against protectionist trade measures.

Key Points: G-24 Warns of Slowing Global Growth, Economic Risks

  • Global growth projected to decline
  • Middle East war disrupts energy & supply chains
  • Rising inflation & financial pressures on emerging economies
  • Calls for stronger global financial safety net & IMF reform
  • Warns against protectionist trade measures
3 min read

Global growth to slow as conflicts bite: G-24

G-24 warns global growth will decline, citing Middle East war, supply chain disruptions, inflation, and financial pressures on emerging economies.

"The war in the Middle East is causing deterioration in the well-being of affected populations - G-24 Communiqué"

Washington, April 15

The Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four warned of a sharp deterioration in global economic conditions, citing conflicts, supply disruptions and financial pressures that could weigh heavily on emerging economies.

In a communique issued after its ministerial meeting in Washington, the G-24 said global growth is projected to decline in 2026 compared to 2025, as the fallout from the war in the Middle East and other crises ripples across energy markets and supply chains.

"The war in the Middle East is causing deterioration in the well-being of affected populations, as well as damage to civilian infrastructure," the group said, noting that these developments are taking "a significant toll on an already weak global economy, with particularly devastating effects on emerging market and developing countries."

The group underscored the risk of rising inflation driven by higher energy, food and fertiliser prices, alongside increasing supply chain costs. It also stressed the need to safeguard maritime routes and called for "cessation of attacks on energy infrastructure," warning that restoring damaged assets is costly and time-consuming.

Oil market stability remains a concern. The G-24 noted that efforts by OPEC Declaration of Cooperation countries to use alternative export routes have helped reduce volatility, but warned that disruptions continue to pose risks to global supply.

The medium-term outlook remains uncertain, with mounting pressure on oil-importing nations' current accounts and the possibility of rising borrowing costs due to higher interest rates and exchange rate pressures, it said. Tighter financial conditions and increased risk aversion could further limit capital flows to developing economies, it added.

The group also called for strengthening the global financial safety net, placing the International Monetary Fund at its centre. It urged timely completion of quota reforms to enhance the representation of emerging and developing economies and protect the share of the poorest members.

"The need for a strong Global Financial Safety Net... is now more important than ever," the communiqué said, adding that the IMF must remain "proactive and agile" in responding to evolving risks.

On the development front, the G-24 highlighted the role of the World Bank Group in boosting job creation, infrastructure investment and financing for vulnerable countries. It called for expanded lending capacity and greater mobilisation of private capital, particularly for micro, small and medium enterprises.

The group also flagged rising debt vulnerabilities, urging coordinated and timely sovereign debt restructuring and greater transparency in debt management. It welcomed progress under the G20 Common Framework and called for further reforms to the international debt architecture.

Climate financing and multilateral cooperation were identified as critical priorities. The G-24 urged developed countries to honour commitments, including the target of $300 billion annually by 2035 for climate finance, and called for increased technology transfer and concessional funding.

Finally, the group warned against protectionist trade measures, saying unilateral tariffs and sanctions undermine global integration. It reiterated the need for a "rules-based, non-discriminatory" multilateral trading system to restore confidence and support global growth.

The G-24 comprises developing countries from Africa, Asia and Latin America and plays a key role in coordinating positions on international monetary and development issues, particularly at the IMF and World Bank. India is a member of the Asian group within the bloc.

The communique comes as global policymakers gather in Washington for the Spring Meetings of the IMF and World Bank, amid heightened geopolitical tensions and growing concerns over the resilience of the world economy.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
The focus on maritime security is key. So much of our trade depends on safe shipping lanes. Conflicts disrupting these routes directly affect prices of everything from electronics to food in our markets. Hope the international community takes this warning seriously.
A
Arjun K
While the analysis is correct, I feel the G-24 communique could be stronger in holding developed nations accountable. They talk about climate finance commitments, but where is the $300 billion/year? Empty promises won't help vulnerable countries build resilience.
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Sarah B
The warning against protectionism is vital. In these uncertain times, the instinct is to close borders and raise tariffs, but that only makes things worse for everyone. A stable, rules-based global trade system benefits emerging economies like India the most.
V
Vikram M
The part about debt restructuring is a silent crisis for many countries. If borrowing costs rise further, it will squeeze budgets for health and education. Glad India is part of this group advocating for a fairer system. Jai Hind!
K
Karthik V
As a small business owner, the point about financing for MSMEs hits home. When global capital flows dry up, we are the first to feel the credit crunch. The World Bank needs to walk the talk on mobilizing private capital for grassroots entrepreneurs.

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