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Exit Polls Predict BJP Sweep in Assam, Set to Better 2021 Tally

Exit polls predict a decisive victory for the BJP in Assam, with the party projected to win 85-100 seats in the 126-member Assembly. The Congress is seen struggling, expected to secure only 20-35 seats. The BJP is anticipated to better its 2021 tally of 60 seats by 20-30 seats. The decimation of the AIUDF is cited as a key factor in the BJP's commanding lead.

Key Points: Assam Exit Polls: BJP Set to Sweep, Better 2021 Tally

  • BJP projected to win 85-100 seats in 126-member Assam Assembly
  • Congress seen struggling with 20-35 seats
  • BJP expected to enhance tally by 20-30 seats over 2021 elections
  • Decimation of AIUDF key factor in BJP's decisive lead
2 min read

Exit polls: BJP set to sweep Assam, seen bettering its tally than 2021 elections

Exit polls predict BJP sweep in Assam with 85-100 seats, bettering its 2021 tally. Congress struggles at 20-35 seats. Himanta Biswa Sarma set for second term.

"a decisive and one-sided victory for the BJP - Axis My India"

New Delhi, April 29

The Bharatiya Janata Party is set to sweep the high-stakes electoral battle in Assam and return to power with a thumping majority for a second consecutive term under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, said a number of Exit Polls on Wednesday.

A couple of pollsters have predicted a decisive and one-sided victory for the BJP, with the latter expected to win 85-100 seats in the 126-member Assembly while the Congress is seen struggling to hold its ground, projected to secure victory in about 20-35 seats.

According to Axis My India, the BJP is expected to clinch a thumping majority in the North-Eastern state by bagging 88-100 seats while Congress is seen trailing at distant second at 24-36 seats, effectively showing that the latter has failed to stand up to its role of "key challenger".

According to another pollster, Poll Diary, the BJP is projected to bag 86-121 seats while Congress is seen faring poorly at 15-25 seats.

Matrize Exit polls too put the BJP in a commanding position with 85-95 seats, making way for the ruling party to return to power with enhanced margins, while predicting falling fortunes for the Congress with 25-32 seats despite the latter mounting a high-octane campaign in the run-up to hotly contested elections.

In terms of vote share, the BJP is seen taking a lead of about 10 per cent over the opponent Congress-led alliance.

The BJP is also expected to enhance its electoral performance, as compared to the 2021 Assembly elections and clinch 20-30 seats more than in the past.

Most of the Exit polls see the Assam elections as a tightly fought and bipolar contest between the BJP and Congress; however, the decimation of AIUDF, a key regional satrap, is seen as one of the key reasons behind the former's decisive lead in the elections.

In the 2021 Assembly elections, the BJP's tally stood at 60 while the Congress secured victory in 29 seats, with the vote percentage between the two parties standing at about 4 per cent.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Preeti S
Exit polls have been wrong before. Let's wait for the real results on May 2. The ground campaign by Congress in tea gardens and rural areas was quite strong—many people I know switched back from AIUDF.
A
Amit K
The decimation of AIUDF is telling—Badruddin Ajmal has lost relevance thanks to CAA and NRC. National security and Assamese identity became the core issues. Himanta played it perfectly.
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Nirmala T
I'm deeply skeptical of these exit polls. They often favor the ruling party. Congress did raise genuine issues—price rise, unemployment, and the flawed NRC process. A 10% vote share gap seems exaggerated.
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Ravi M
As an Assamese living in Guwahati, I can vouch that the streets are full of anti-incumbency talk—but not against BJP, against local MLAs. The overall sentiment is pro-Himanta. 85+ seats is very realistic.

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