NewKerala.com

Bengal Polls: TMC Set for Fourth Term Despite BJP Surge, Says Poll

An opinion poll projects the Trinamool Congress will secure a fourth term in West Bengal, winning an estimated 155-170 seats. The BJP-led NDA is expected to significantly improve its tally to 100-115 seats but fall short of a majority. The elections will be held in two phases on April 23 and 29, with results declared on May 4. The Chief Election Commissioner commented on the TMC's last-minute populist announcements made before the model code of conduct began.

Key Points: Bengal Polls: TMC to Retain Power, BJP Gains Seats - Opinion Poll

  • TMC projected to win 155-170 seats
  • BJP-led NDA to get 100-115 seats
  • TMC vote share 43-45%, NDA 41-43%
  • Elections on April 23 & 29
2 min read

Bengal opinion polls: BJP's tally to rise, unlikely to unseat Trinamool ​

Matrize opinion poll predicts TMC victory in Bengal with 155-170 seats, BJP-led NDA to improve tally to 100-115 seats. Results on May 4.

"States can take any policy decision just before the model code of conduct kicks in. - Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar"

New Delhi, March 15

The Bharatiya Janata Party, acknowledged as the 'biggest threat' to Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress-regime is set to give the ruling dispensation a shock in the ensuing elections but not strong enough to unseat it from power, finds-Matrize Opinion poll.​

The Mamata government, eyeing its fourth term, is likely to return to power in the state despite a strong anti-incumbency wave. According to an opinion poll, it is likely to fetch 43-45 per cent vote share, translating into 155-170 seats in the 292-member Assembly, the halfway mark of which is 148.​

BJP-led NDA is expected to improve its tally this time compared to the 2021 Assembly elections and expand its victory in 100-115 constituencies, but will fall short of dislodging the ruling TMC from power.​

According to the IANS-Matrize Opinion poll, the NDA is seen fetching 41-43 per cent vote share, resulting in victory in about 100-115 seats, which marks a considerable improvement from the 2021 polls, when it got 38 per cent vote share and secured victory in 77 seats.​

Overall, the survey shows that the BJP-led NDA is seen improving its vote share and people's mandate, while the TMC is seen scraping through and emerging victorious in the hotly contested electoral battle.​

Earlier, during the announcement of poll dates, the Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar responded to the TMC government's last-minute populist poll promises, which included clearing arrears for government employees and hiking honorariums for purohits and muezzins.​

"States can take any policy decision just before the model code of conduct kicks in. And the code of conduct has come into force now," the CEC said.​

The Assembly elections for West Bengal will be held in two phases - April 23 and 29, and the results will be declared on May 4.​

- IANS

Share this article:

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
As a Bengali, I feel the anti-incumbency is real, but the opposition hasn't presented a strong enough local face. BJP's national leaders can only do so much. People want development, not just polarizing rhetoric. TMC's welfare schemes still have a strong pull in rural areas. 🤔
R
Rohit P
The last-minute announcements for government employees and religious functionaries feel so transactional. Is this what elections have been reduced to? Clear your dues just before the model code kicks in. The CEC's statement is a gentle reprimand, but what's the point after the fact?
S
Sarah B
Interesting data. A 2% difference in vote share (43-45% vs 41-43%) translates to a ~50 seat difference. First-past-the-post system at work! This shows TMC's votes are more efficiently distributed. BJP needs to work on widening its appeal beyond its core base.
M
Michael C
Respectfully, I think the poll is underestimating the silent voter. The ground reality in many constituencies feels different. The BJP's organizational push has been massive. Let's see on May 4th! Bengal elections are always full of surprises. 🗳️
N
Nisha Z
The most important thing is peaceful elections. The two-phase polling is good for security. Hope the EC ensures a free and fair process. At the end of the day, Bengal needs stability and economic growth, whoever wins.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50