Iran Crisis: Khamenei's Death May Strengthen Regime, Warn Experts

Former Union Minister MJ Akbar warns that the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may have backfired, potentially strengthening the Islamic regime by elevating him to a martyr. Foreign affairs expert Waiel Awwad condemns the strike as a cowardly act that will trigger serious regional retaliation and chaos. Both analysts suggest the US and Israel's true objective is regime change, not addressing nuclear concerns. The conflict risks widening as allied groups like the Houthis and Hezbollah may become involved, leading to a prolonged war in West Asia.

Key Points: Iran Conflict: Assassination May Backfire, Strengthen Regime

  • Unintended consequences may strengthen Iranian regime
  • Khamenei elevated to martyr in Shia consciousness
  • Retaliatory actions by Iran already underway
  • Conflict risks widening with Houthi, Hezbollah involvement
  • US-Israel objective seen as regime change, not nuclear program
3 min read

"Assassination may have strengthened regime, not weakened it": Former Union Minister MJ Akbar on Iran conflict

Experts warn Ayatollah Khamenei's death could martyr him, consolidate Iranian regime, and trigger wider regional war with serious global fallout.

"The assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei may have actually strengthened the Islamic regime. - MJ Akbar"

Mapusa, March 2

As tensions escalate following the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, former Union Minister of State for External Affairs MJ Akbar warned that the fallout may produce consequences opposite to those intended by Washington DC.

Speaking to ANI on Sunday, Akbar said, "The law of unintended consequences might have already kicked in. President Trump started this war by saying that his war objective was regime change. Instead, the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei may have actually strengthened the Islamic regime."

According to Akbar, Khamenei's death risks elevating him in Shia religious and political consciousness. "Ayatollah Khamenei has now risen in the Shia iconography from a leader to a martyr," he said, suggesting that the killing could consolidate support for the Iranian establishment rather than weaken it.

He added that Tehran's official messaging reflects this posture. "The Iranian government has just issued a statement saying that his death will become 'a living nightmare' for those who killed him," Akbar noted.

Meanwhile, in New Delhi, foreign affairs expert Waiel Awwad strongly condemned the strike. "This attack by Israel and the United States, killing an innocent citizen, the Supreme Leader, is a cowardly act. It will undoubtedly have serious ramifications for the region and make the situation more chaotic, because there will be significant retribution," he said.

Speaking to ANI, Awwad pointed to ongoing retaliatory actions."Retaliatory measures are already underway by Iran against Israeli targets," he said, arguing that the killing demonstrates that "the US and Israel are not genuinely concerned about Iran's nuclear program; their focus is instead on the Iranian government and the people."

He also referred to scenes of public mourning in Iran."Massive crowds taking to the streets to mourn their supreme leader, which directly contradicts Western narratives that he lacked popularity." Awwad said.

Warning of broader regional repercussions, Awwad said the development would resonate deeply within the global Shia community. "It is a concern for many countries and especially for the global Shia community. People will feel sympathy for their leaders," he said.

He further cautioned that the conflict would widen if allied groups became involved."If this conflict spreads, we can expect further attacks from groups such as the Houthis, Hezbollah in Lebanon," he said, adding, "This escalation is precisely what the United States and Israel want -- a prolonged war in West Asia that does not end quickly."

Awwad argued that regime change has long been part of US strategic thinking." It's important to understand the true message from the US: they began seeking regime change more than two decades ago. What we are witnessing now is a different approach, but the objective remains the same -- removing regimes by force. They have attempted this in Venezuela, they are attempting it in Iran, and tomorrow it could be anywhere," he said.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

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Sarah B
As an observer, the analysis seems spot on. The US and Israel have completely misread the regional sentiment. The massive public mourning is a clear indicator. This won't lead to stability, only more chaos. 😟
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Vikram M
This is a worrying development for India. We have significant interests in the region - Chabahar port, energy security, and our diaspora. Any escalation directly impacts us. Our foreign policy needs to be balanced but firm. Jai Hind.
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Rohit P
While I understand the strategic analysis, I respectfully disagree with framing the Supreme Leader as an "innocent citizen." He was the head of a state that has sponsored proxies across the region. The action is condemnable, but let's not whitewash the regime's actions either.
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Priya S
The point about this becoming a "living nightmare" for the perpetrators is chilling. This feels like the start of a very long, painful chapter. My heart goes out to the ordinary people of Iran and the region who will suffer the most. 🙏
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Michael C
The warning about Houthis and Hezbollah is crucial. This won't be contained. It will spill over, affecting global trade and oil prices. India's economy is already fragile; we can't afford another external shock from a regional war.

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