Key Points

The PHDCCI has projected a benign wholesale inflation scenario in the coming months based on recent economic indicators. September's wholesale inflation rate dropped to 0.13%, driven primarily by lower food and primary article prices. Strong agricultural output and stable global commodity prices are expected to maintain this trend. The forecast suggests positive economic conditions with moderate price stability across key sectors.

Key Points: PHDCCI Forecasts Benign Wholesale Inflation Amid Crop Yield

  • - Wholesale inflation eases to 0.13% in September from 0.52% in August
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Wholesale inflation expected to remain benign in near term: PHDCCI

PHDCCI experts predict stable wholesale inflation driven by strong agricultural output and global commodity price trends in September

"The low overall inflation in September was primarily driven by declines in food and primary article prices - PHDCCI Release"

New Delhi, Oct 14

Wholesale inflation is expected to remain benign in the upcoming months, aided by sufficient food supply, stable global commodity prices, and government measures to control inflation in key sectors, PHDCCI CEO & Secretary General, Ranjeet Mehta, said on Tuesday.

The harvest of kharif crops and the expected arrival of rabi produce in the next quarter are likely to keep food inflation contained, Mehta said on the official WPI data released on Tuesday, a PHDCCI release said.

India's annual rate of inflation based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) eased to 0.13 per cent in September from 0.52 per cent in August, according to figures released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.

PHDCCI President Rajeev Juneja said that the food prices dropped 1.38 per cent during the month due to higher crop yields and adequate buffer stocks of wheat and rice. Fuel inflation stayed in the negative zone at (-) 2.58 per cent during September.

The low overall inflation in September was primarily driven by declines in food and primary article prices, even as manufactured product prices showed a mild increase.

Juneja said that the moderation in wholesale prices was mainly due to lower food and energy costs, a strong agricultural output, and stable commodity prices globally. Improved supply-side conditions following a good monsoon, alongside government interventions to check retail prices of essential commodities, also contributed to the decline, he added

However, the manufactured goods sector continued to witness moderate price rises due to elevated input costs, particularly for raw materials like metals and chemicals, and steady domestic demand in industrial sectors such as cement, steel, and consumer durables, he said.

Meanwhile, the country's inflation rate based on the consumer price index (CPI) has declined to an over eight-year low of 1.54 per cent in September this year, compared to the same month of the previous year, as prices of food items and fuels turned cheaper during the month.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rajesh Q
While the overall numbers look positive, I'm concerned about the manufactured goods sector. As a small business owner, we're still facing high input costs for raw materials. The benefits aren't reaching everyone equally.
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Sarah B
The good monsoon has really helped agriculture this year. As someone who follows economic trends, it's encouraging to see multiple factors aligning - from global commodity prices to domestic agricultural output.
A
Arjun K
WPI at 0.13% and CPI at 1.54% - these are impressive numbers! Hope this trend continues and we see some relief in our monthly grocery bills. The buffer stocks of wheat and rice are definitely helping. 👍
M
Michael C
The data looks promising, but I wonder if this will translate to actual price reductions for consumers. Often, wholesale benefits don't fully pass through to retail markets in India. Need to see sustained improvement.
N
Neha E
As a homemaker, I can feel the difference in vegetable prices recently. Tomatoes and onions are much more affordable now. Hope this continues through the festival season! 🎉

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