Key Points

The Indian rupee has plunged to a new record low against the US dollar. This decline is driven by importer outflows and global uncertainties surrounding US policies. Simultaneously, gold prices have soared to all-time highs as the Federal Reserve signals potential interest rate cuts. Experts suggest the RBI is intervening to stabilize the currency while anticipating a rupee recovery in the coming months.

Key Points: Rupee Hits Record Low 88.67 vs Dollar Gold at All-Time High

  • Rupee breaches previous lifetime low of 88.47 amid month-end importer outflows
  • Currency expert predicts potential strengthening to 87.50 levels by October
  • Gold prices surge past $3700 on COMEX after Fed signals further rate cuts
  • RBI actively intervenes in markets to curb excessive rupee volatility
2 min read

Rupee hits record low of 88.67 against Dollar, Gold at all-time high on Fed Outlook

Indian rupee falls to historic low of 88.67 per USD as gold prices surge on Fed rate cut outlook and global uncertainties. Expert analysis inside.

"Next 2/3 days' volatility may continue, but the Rupee's further weakness may not be much - K N Dey"

New Delhi, September 23

The weakness in the Indian rupee continued on Tuesday, with the currency touching a record low of 88.67 per U.S. dollar at the time of filing this report. The pressure on the rupee came amid concerns over U.S. tariffs and jitters surrounding H1B visa rules.

K N Dey, a currency expert, told ANI that the rupee breached its lifetime low of 88.47/USD recorded on September 11 in the morning session.

"There were some FII's buying yesterday, later part of trading hours, and today it's month/ half year end outflows by general importers. Also, some export forward contract cancellations are reported. Next 2/3 days' volatility may continue, but the Rupee's further weakness may not be much," Dey noted.

He added that volatility could continue over the next two to three days, but the rupee may not weaken much further from current levels.

"In fact, 88.47/50 are good levels to sell long term with 1 year forward quoting at 90.52. RBI is actively intervening in the market to avoid any undue volatility. Come October, hopefully the rupee should possibly start strengthening and might touch 87.50/60 in the coming 2 months," Dey added.

Meanwhile, in the commodities market, safe-haven gold hovered near record highs as geopolitical tensions rose and investors awaited cues from several U.S. Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak this week.

Manav Modi, Analyst - Precious Metal Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said gold prices surged after the Fed decided to cut interest rates last week and signaled potential further easing.

"Gold breached the door of USD 3700 once again, while silver goes way past USD 43 on COMEX. Gold at USD 3787/ounce," Modi highlighted.

He added that markets are closely watching comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers after the central bank lowered rates by 25 basis points and raised expectations for two more cuts this year.

However, the Fed also cautioned about persistent inflation while casting doubt over the pace of easing in 2026 and 2027.

With a weaker rupee, active RBI interventions, and gold at historic levels, global uncertainties continue to dominate investor sentiment across currency and commodity markets.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
Good time to buy gold if you have savings! My father always said gold is the safest investment in uncertain times. 🪙
S
Sarah B
As an NRI, this actually helps when sending money home to family. But I understand it's tough for people living in India. The H1B visa uncertainty doesn't help either.
A
Arjun K
The government needs to focus more on boosting exports and reducing dependency on imports. Make in India should be accelerated to counter such situations.
M
Michael C
While the expert suggests rupee might strengthen to 87.50, I feel we should be prepared for more volatility. Global economic conditions are quite unpredictable right now.
N
Neha E
My wedding is in December and gold prices are making me anxious! 😅 Hopefully things stabilize before the wedding shopping begins.

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