Key Points

India's economy impressively expanded by 6.5% in FY25, marking it as the fastest-growing major economy. The robust growth is credited to strong domestic consumption and significant government investments rather than reliance on exports. Experts like Ranen Banerjee and Manoranjan Sharma emphasize that this growth, while impressive, faces challenges in FY26 due to global uncertainties and weaker manufacturing. The Reserve Bank of India projects a cautious but optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year, citing potential improvements in private consumption.

Key Points: India FY25 GDP Driven by Strong Domestic Demand and Investments

  • India's economy grew by 7.4% in Q4 FY25 beating forecasts
  • Strong growth attributed to domestic consumption and government investment
  • Experts caution on FY26 due to global trade disruptions
3 min read

Robust GDP growth in FY25 because of good domestic consumption & government investment: Economists

India's GDP grows 6.5% in FY25 driven by domestic consumption and steady government investments.

"India's economy rose by 6.5 per cent in FY25, in line with the estimates. - Manoranjan Sharma"

New Delhi, May 31

The robust GDP numbers of the Indian economy in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2025 are because of good domestic consumption, government investment, and relatively lower dependence on exports, say experts reacting to the numbers.

Manoranjan Sharma, Chief Economist at Infomeric Valuations and Ratings said "India's economy rose by 6.5 per cent in FY 25, in line with the estimates making it once again the world's fastest-growing major economy. This strengthens the thought that India is once again one of the fastest-growing major economies in the world. Growth outlook has remained robust because of the domestic consumption, govt investment and relatively lower dependence on exports."

India's economy grew by 7.4 per cent in the January-March quarter (Q4) of FY25, beating expectations and marking the strongest quarterly growth of the fiscal year. This was a sharp rise from the 6.2per cent recorded in the previous quarter.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had forecast 7.2 per cent growth for Q4 and 6.6 per cent for the full FY25 in its last monetary policy meeting. For FY26, the central bank has projected 6.5 per cent growth, citing expected improvement in private consumption and steady investment activity.

Ranen Banerjee, Partner and Leader, Economic Advisory at PwC India, noted that the 6.5% growth for FY25 is a strong outcome despite global headwinds.

He said "The manufacturing growth has printed weak and it is a matter of concern, especially given the trade-related disruptions and global economic slowdown expected in FY26".

Banerjee also pointed out that Gross Fixed Capital Formation rose by 8.8 per cent, possibly due to increased private capex, as government capital expenditure did not rise significantly over the previous year.

Anshuman Magazine, Chairman & CEO of CBRE India, Southeast Asia, Middle East & Africa, said the growth beat expectations and showed resilience. He credited the rise to strong domestic demand, a recovery in rural markets, and activity in the industrial sector.

He said "The growth highlights strong domestic demand, rural market recovery, and an active industrial sector. The economy's adaptability is evident in the broad industry growth".

He also noted that growth in the construction and financial sectors has helped the real estate market by boosting investments and homebuyer confidence.

Madhavi Arora, Chief Economist at Emkay Global Financial Services, said the Q4 growth partly reflects back-loaded government spending, mainly through public capital expenditure.

She noted that capital formation remained steady, but FY26 could face challenges due to global uncertainties affecting investment sentiment and softer urban income weighing on private consumption.

Overall, experts agree that India's economic growth in FY25 has been resilient, driven by domestic factors, though risks remain for the upcoming year due to global and domestic challenges.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rajesh K.
Good to see our economy performing well despite global challenges! But I hope this growth reaches common people too - petrol prices and daily essentials are still pinching our pockets. Govt should focus more on controlling inflation now.
P
Priya M.
As a small business owner, I can see the positive impact of government schemes. Our sales have improved this year compared to last 2 years. But banks need to make business loans easier for MSMEs to sustain this growth momentum! 👍
A
Amit S.
Manufacturing growth is weak as mentioned - this is worrying. We can't just depend on services sector forever. Need to become 'Make in India' truly successful to create more jobs and balanced growth.
S
Sunita R.
The rural recovery is most heartening! After 2 bad monsoon years, our farmers are finally seeing better days. Hope this continues with good rains this year too. Jai Kisan! 🌾
V
Vikram J.
Numbers look good on paper but ground reality is different in many sectors. Real estate prices are making homes unaffordable for middle class despite all this 'growth'. Need more affordable housing projects.
N
Neha P.
Happy to see India shining in global economy rankings! But let's not forget - we need to improve our per capita income too. Growth should be inclusive and reach all sections of society equally.

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