Key Points

The Indian retail sector is bouncing back, with RAI projecting growth to hit 9-10% soon. Southern India leads with 9% sales growth, while QSR and electronics show strong demand. RAI CEO Kumar Rajagopalan credits market stability and increased consumer spending for the recovery. The upcoming festive season could further boost retail sales toward double-digit expansion.

Key Points: Indian Retail Sector Set for 9-10% Growth Says RAI CEO Rajagopalan

  • Retail sector recovering strongly post-pandemic with 7% growth in May 2025
  • Southern India leads with 9% retail sales growth
  • QSR and electronics segments show highest demand at 8-10%
  • Festive season expected to push growth closer to double digits
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Retail sector gaining momentum, growth expected to reach 9-10 pc soon: RAI

RAI predicts Indian retail sector growth to accelerate to 9-10% soon, with QSR and electronics leading the recovery.

"With markets stabilising and consumers spending more, retail is showing signs of faster growth – Kumar Rajagopalan, RAI CEO"

New Delhi, June 29

The Indian retail sector, currently valued at $900 billion, is showing signs of strong recovery and is expected to grow at a faster pace in the coming months, according to the Retailers’ Association of India (RAI).

The sector, which is currently growing at a rate of 5 per cent, is likely to soon pick up speed and reach a growth rate of 9 to 10 per cent.

RAI's CEO Kumar Rajagopalan said that right after the pandemic, the retail sector had bounced back strongly with a 20 per cent growth rate.

"However, in the last one year, the growth slowed down to around 5 per cent. Now, with the markets stabilising, consumers spending more, and the right consumer base in place, the sector is once again showing signs of faster growth," he added.

Meanwhile, as per RAI’s 62nd Retail Business Survey, retail sales across India grew by 7 per cent in May 2025 compared to the same month the previous year.

This marks a significant improvement after months of moderate growth ranging between 4 to 5 per cent.

Region-wise, southern India led the way with a 9 per cent growth in retail sales in May.

Western India followed with 7 per cent, while northern and eastern regions recorded growth of 6 per cent and 4 per cent, respectively, as per the report.

Among the different segments, quick service restaurants (QSR) showed the highest growth at 10 per cent.

Consumer durables and electronics, along with furniture, also performed well with an 8 per cent rise each.

Rajagopalan said this increase shows that people are now more willing to spend, especially on non-essential or discretionary items.

Looking ahead, the RAI CEO expressed optimism about the upcoming festive season.

He said that the improving consumer sentiment could further boost retail sales and bring the sector closer to double-digit growth in the near future.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
While the numbers look positive, I wonder how much of this growth is benefiting traditional kirana stores? Big retail chains seem to be getting most advantages while small shopkeepers struggle with GST compliance.
R
Rohit P
Southern India leading as usual! Our Chennai markets have been buzzing with activity. The QSR growth at 10% doesn't surprise me - every mall now has 5-6 food chains with long queues!
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Michael C
Interesting data! I work with a retail analytics firm and we're seeing similar trends. The festive season will be crucial - if Diwali sales are strong, we might indeed hit that 10% growth mark.
S
Shreya B
Consumer durables growth makes sense - with so many EMI options and discounts, people are upgrading their homes. Just bought a new AC myself during the summer sale 😅
V
Vikram M
The report is optimistic but we must remember inflation is still high. Many families are cutting back on essentials to afford these "discretionary" purchases. Growth numbers don't show the full picture.

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