Key Points

India's retail inflation has plunged to a 75-month low of 2.82% in May 2025, marking a significant economic milestone. Food inflation dropped sharply to 0.99%, supported by strong agricultural output and falling global crude prices. The RBI responded with a surprise 50 bps rate cut, citing broad-based price stability. This contrasts sharply with the UPA era's double-digit inflation struggles.

Key Points: India's Retail Inflation Hits 75-Month Low at 2.82% Under Modi

  • Retail inflation at 75-month low of 2.82%
  • Food inflation eases to 0.99%
  • RBI cuts repo rate by 50 bps
  • Inflation contrast to UPA-era highs
2 min read

Retail inflation falls to 2.82 pc in May, sharp drop from UPA-era highs

India's inflation drops to 2.82% in May 2025, lowest since 2019, as food and fuel prices ease under Modi government policies.

"The softening of prices shows broad-based improvement - RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra"

New Delhi, June 13

India’s retail inflation has dropped to a 75-month low of 2.82 per cent in May 2025, with food inflation easing to just 0.99 per cent.

The data, shared by Infoindata on social media platform X, underscores a significant achievement for Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led government, which has managed to keep inflation largely under control over the past 11 years -- marking a sharp contrast to the UPA era, when double-digit inflation had become a regular concern.

According to the Ministry of Statistics, May’s retail inflation is the lowest since February 2019.

Food inflation, too, hit its lowest level since October 2021 and has been on a declining trend for the seventh straight month, supported by strong agricultural output.

The latest inflation drop is largely due to falling prices of essential food items such as pulses, vegetables, fruits, cereals, sugar, eggs and household goods.

The easing of global crude oil prices has also helped bring down fuel-related inflation.

This consistent moderation has prompted the Reserve Bank of India to revise its inflation forecast for FY2025-26 from 4 per cent to 3.7 per cent.

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the softening of prices over the last six months -- from levels above the RBI’s upper tolerance band in October 2024 to well below the 4 per cent target -- shows broad-based improvement.

The RBI now expects inflation to remain below or near target throughout the year, with CPI projections set at 2.9 per cent for Q1, 3.4 per cent for Q2, 3.9 per cent for Q3, and 4.4 per cent for Q4.

This favourable inflation environment enabled the central bank to announce a surprise 50 basis point cut in the repo rate, bringing it down to 5.5 per cent.

Additionally, the RBI slashed the cash reserve ratio by 100 basis points in four tranches, a move expected to inject Rs 2.5 lakh crore into the banking system and stimulate credit growth.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rajesh K.
Finally some good news for middle class families! My grocery bill has reduced by nearly 15% compared to last year. Hope this trend continues and RBI keeps supporting growth with rate cuts. Modi government deserves credit for stable policies.
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Priya M.
While inflation numbers look good, I'm not seeing similar relief in medical costs and education fees. Also, vegetable prices fluctuate wildly depending on season. The government should focus on stabilizing these essential services too. 🏥📚
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Amit S.
As a small businessman, the repo rate cut is a blessing! Lower EMIs will put more money in customers' pockets and hopefully boost demand. Kudos to RBI for this bold move after keeping rates high for so long. Jai Hind! 🇮🇳
S
Sunita R.
My farmer relatives in Punjab are worried though. While cities benefit from low food prices, mandi rates for crops have fallen sharply. Government must ensure MSP reaches all farmers properly. Agriculture can't suffer for urban inflation control.
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Vikram J.
The numbers look impressive but let's not forget global factors helped - oil prices down, good monsoon. The real test will be when external conditions tighten again. Hope our policymakers have contingency plans ready.
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Neha T.
As a young professional planning to buy my first home, this is perfect timing! Lower inflation + rate cuts = affordable home loans. Finally feeling optimistic about my financial future 😊 Maybe I can even save for foreign vacation now!

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