Key Points

The Reserve Bank of India has strategically maintained its repo rate while projecting a robust 6.8% GDP growth for 2025-26. Experts believe the current stance provides short-term economic stability and potential for future rate adjustments. The recent GST rate rationalization is expected to support consumption during the festive season. Economists like Aditi Gupta suggest there might be room for further policy easing in the coming months.

Key Points: RBI MPC Holds Repo Rate Amid Global Economic Shifts

  • RBI maintains repo rate at 5.5% despite growth projections
  • GST rate reduction expected to boost festive season consumption
  • Potential 25bps rate cut anticipated in upcoming meeting
  • Inflation pressures likely to ease in near term
2 min read

RBI MPC's repo rate decision to help navigate global uncertainties: Experts

RBI maintains 6.8% GDP growth forecast, signals potential rate cuts while navigating economic uncertainties and festive season demand

"It will help navigate the global uncertainties and choppy waters - Srinivasan Vaidyanathan, Essar Capital"

New Delhi, Oct 1

Economists and industry experts said on Wednesday said that amid a major demand push after the reduction in the GST rates, the RBI has adopted a cautious approach of holding the repo rate at 5.5 per cent.

"It will also help navigate the global uncertainties and choppy waters. With low inflation and steady policies, corporates can plan their finances carefully and invest wisely," said Srinivasan Vaidyanathan, Operating Partner, Essar Capital.

"While this stance provides short-term stability, it highlights the necessity for more assertive policy measures to invigorate demand and investment, ensuring sustainable economic growth," Vaidyanathan added.

The Central Bank has also raised its projection of India's GDP growth rate to 6.8 per cent for 2025-26 from 6.5 per cent earlier, as the implementation of several growth-inducing structural reforms, including streamlining of GST, is expected to offset some of the adverse effects of the external headwinds.

According to a note by Axis Securities, the recent GST rate rationalisation comes at an opportune time and is expected to support consumption demand during the festive season.

"The regulator has revised its growth forecast upwards for Q2 and FY26, while a marginal downward revision is seen in H2FY26 onwards. However, inflationary pressures are expected to continue to ease in the near term. The pause in the current meeting leaves room for the RBI to opt for a 25bps rate cut in the forthcoming meeting, with growth buoyancy continuing and expectations of softening inflationary pressures," according to the note.

According to Aditi Gupta, economist, Bank of Baroda, RBI's projections on growth and inflation suggest that there might be room for further policy easing, although the magnitude will be limited.

"We expect the terminal repo rate at 5.25 per cent; however, the timing of the next rate cut will be crucial," Gupta added.

The RBI Governor also listed a number of regulatory announcements aimed at regulatory compliance, improving flow of credit, foreign exchange management, customer protection and financial markets.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
As a small business owner, I appreciate RBI's cautious approach. The GST reduction combined with steady repo rates gives us confidence to invest in expansion during this festive season. Hope the promised rate cut comes soon though!
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Sarah B
While the pause is understandable given global uncertainties, I feel RBI could have been more proactive. Many middle-class families are still struggling with high EMIs. A small rate cut would have provided immediate relief to common people.
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Arjun K
The upward revision in GDP growth projection shows confidence in Indian economy's resilience. Structural reforms are finally paying off! 🚀 Hope this translates to more job opportunities for our youth.
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Kavya N
RBI's focus on regulatory compliance and customer protection is much needed. Too many people fall prey to financial frauds. Good to see the central bank thinking about common citizens' financial safety.
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Michael C
Working in the banking sector, I can see how this measured approach helps maintain stability. The expectation of 25bps cut in next meeting seems reasonable. RBI is walking the tightrope between growth and inflation perfectly.

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