Key Points

The Nifty index has climbed 6.8% in the first half of 2025, defying global economic instability. RBI’s rate cuts and falling inflation have bolstered investor confidence, while SIP inflows reached an all-time high. Despite slowing industrial output, strong domestic demand and corporate margin improvements have kept the market resilient. However, analysts remain cautious about global volatility’s potential impact on future earnings.

Key Points: Nifty Gains 6.8% in H1 2025 Despite Global Market Uncertainty

  • Nifty rises 6.8% YTD despite trade tensions and conflicts
  • RBI cuts repo rate by 50 bps as inflation eases
  • SIP inflows hit record Rs 26,688 crore in May
  • Corporate margins improve despite global export concerns
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Nifty rises 6.8 pc in H1 2025 amid global uncertainty

India’s Nifty surges 6.8% YTD amid global volatility, supported by RBI rate cuts, strong forex reserves, and robust domestic demand.

"Even as the global landscape becomes more fragmented and volatile, India’s economy and markets have shown strong resilience. – NSE Market Pulse"

Mumbai, June 28

The Nifty index has risen 6.8 per cent year-to-date (YTD) as of June 25 -- reflecting steady investor confidence despite global uncertainty, according to the 'NSE Market Pulse' report.

In May alone, the index gained 1.7 per cent, followed by a 2 per cent rise in June.

This performance is notable given the backdrop of rising global trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and increasing protectionism that have unsettled markets around the world.

Even as the global landscape becomes more fragmented and volatile, India’s economy and markets have shown strong resilience.

Supported by falling inflation, robust forex reserves, and timely policy measures, the Indian market continues to maintain a sense of stability that stands out globally, the report said.

In the first half of 2025, world economies have grappled with tariff hikes, broken supply chains, and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.

These challenges have pushed up production costs and inflation concerns. The IMF has warned that the global trade disruptions could be more damaging than the COVID-19 pandemic.

Amid this, the RBI acted quickly by cutting the repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.5 per cent, taking advantage of a sharp drop in inflation, which was just 2.8 per cent in May.

A timely monsoon has further boosted rural sentiment and early Kharif sowing, the report added.

India’s macroeconomic indicators present a mixed picture. While industrial output and credit growth have slowed, strong domestic demand -- evident in non-oil, non-gold imports -- continues to support the economy.

On the corporate front, earnings for the fourth quarter of FY25 showed mild improvement.

While revenue growth stayed in single digits, profit margins improved, especially for large-cap firms, due to lower input costs and better efficiency.

However, despite beating earnings expectations, analysts have trimmed FY25 and FY26 forecasts, indicating caution over global volatility’s potential impact on Indian exports and overall business performance.

India’s capital markets remained active, with nine IPOs raising over Rs 5,600 crore in May, as per the report.

Investor registrations bounced back, with Gujarat becoming the third state to cross one crore investor accounts.

SIP inflows hit a new high of Rs 26,688 crore, showing rising trust among retail investors.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
While the numbers look good, I'm concerned about the slowing industrial output. The government needs to focus more on manufacturing sector reforms to sustain this growth momentum.
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Priya S
SIP inflows crossing ₹26k crore is amazing! More middle-class Indians are understanding the power of systematic investing. My own SIP portfolio has given 12% returns this year 😊
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Arjun K
Good performance but we shouldn't celebrate too soon. Global headwinds are strong and our exports may take a hit. Need to watch how monsoon progresses - that's the real test for our economy.
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Kavya N
Gujarat crossing 1 crore investor accounts shows how financial awareness is spreading beyond metros. More power to retail investors! Hope SEBI keeps protecting small investors' interests.
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Vikram M
The market rise is good but not reaching common people. Petrol prices still high, vegetables costly. Stock market numbers don't reflect ground reality for average Indian families.

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