Key Points

ICRA projects that NHAI could raise between Rs 35,000-40,000 crore in FY26 through road monetisation. This would significantly exceed the budgeted target of Rs 30,000 crore for the fiscal year. The projection is based on the successful monetisation of identified assets through TOT bundles and transfers to the NHAI InvIT. If achieved, this would bring NHAI's total monetisation since inception to around Rs 1.3 lakh crore.

Key Points: NHAI May Raise Rs 40000 Crore FY26 Exceeding Target ICRA

  • NHAI has raised Rs 92,633 crore via TOT and InvIT since FY19
  • TOT method generated 53% of total monetisation during FY19-25
  • Nearly 3,750 km of announced assets are yet to be monetised
  • Valuation multiples for TOT bundles ranged from 0.46 to 0.93 times
3 min read

NHAI may raise Rs 40,000 crore in FY26, exceeding target of Rs 30,000 crore: ICRA

ICRA projects NHAI road monetisation could hit Rs 35,000-40,000 crore in FY26, exceeding the budgeted target of Rs 30,000 crore through TOT and InvIT models.

"This would mark a healthy improvement from the Rs. 24,399 crore monetised in FY25 - ICRA Report"

New Delhi, September 17

Rating agency ICRA projects road monetisation at Rs. 35,000-40,000 crore in FY26 if the assets identified by the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) are monetised in a timely manner. The report is based on the assumption on the median valuation multiple of 0.62 times seen across the 10 awarded TOT (toll-operate-transfer) bundles over the last three years.

"This would mark a healthy improvement from the Rs. 24,399 crore monetised in FY25. Moreover, this would exceed the budgeted monetisation target of Rs. 30,000 crore for FY26," the report said.

The NHAI has identified a pipeline of projects earmarked for monetisation, which includes the estimated completion of five TOT bundles with bids already initiated. Moreover, it has earmarked the transfer of project stretches to the InvIT (Infrastructure Investment Trust) established by the NHAI.

Vinay Kumar G, Sector Head, Corporate Ratings, ICRA, said, "The NHAI has predominantly utilised two asset monetisation mechanisms, namely TOT and InvIT, since FY19. The authority has successfully raised Rs. 92,633 crore through these channels up to FY25. The TOT method generated 53 per cent of NHAI's total monetisation during FY19-25. InvIT, introduced in FY22, has seen its share expand over the past two years. Since FY23, NHAI has begun publishing annual lists of assets designated for monetisation. Between FY23 and FY25, approximately 7,000 km were announced for monetisation, of which about 2,000 km have been completed to date, and an additional 1,170 km have been offered for sale through five TOT bundles. Moreover, NHAI is yet to monetise nearly 3,750 km that were made available for sale during this period."

ICRA's analysis suggests that the valuation multiple has varied between 0.46 and 0.93 times across the 10 awarded TOT bundles over the last three years, with the median multiple being 0.62 times. The average concession period has been 20 years, and the toll collection track record for the underlying assets has varied between 4 and 15 years (median of 10 years).

Based on this multiple, monetisation of existing identified assets, along with TOT bundles and assets identified in FY26, could potentially garner monetisation proceeds of Rs. 35,000-40,000 crore in FY26, taking its total monetisation since inception to around Rs. 1.3 lakh crore.

"The National Monetisation Pipeline (NMP) set a target of approximately Rs. 53,366 crore with a total monetisable length of 8,894 km for FY2025, whereas the FY25 Budget projected a lower figure of Rs. 30,000 crore. Of this amount, NHAI generated Rs. 6,661 crore through the monetisation of the TOT bundle 16 (252 km), and Rs. 17,738 crore via the fourth round of asset transfer to the NHAI InvIT (821 km), amounting to Rs. 24,399 crore in proceeds and a cumulative length of 1,073 km during FY25. The deferment of awards under TOT bundles 15, 17, 18, and 19 resulted in slippages against ICRA's prior estimate of Rs. 37,000-40,000 crore for FY25," Kumar stated.

- ANI

Share this article:

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Excellent progress! The InvIT model seems to be working well for NHAI. More private investment in infrastructure will accelerate our economic growth 🚀
A
Amit K
While the numbers look impressive, I hope the toll rates don't become unbearable for common people. Infrastructure development should not come at the cost of public affordability.
S
Sarah B
As someone who frequently travels on national highways, I've seen significant improvement in road quality over the years. This monetization strategy seems to be working well for maintenance and upgrades.
V
Vikram M
₹1.3 lakh crore total monetization since inception is massive! This shows how strategic asset monetization can fund new infrastructure projects without burdening taxpayers 💪
N
Nisha Z
Hope they focus on completing the delayed TOT bundles 15, 17, 18, and 19. Timely execution is key to achieving these targets. Otherwise, it's just numbers on paper.
M
Michael C
The variance in valuation multiples (0.46 to 0.93 times) shows there's significant opportunity for optimization. NHAI should work on standardizing the valuation process for better returns.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50