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Key Points

The FAO just released some really promising numbers for global cereal production. They're forecasting the biggest annual growth we've seen since 2013, which is fantastic news for food security worldwide. What's particularly encouraging is that we're looking at comfortable supply prospects across all major cereal crops. This should help stabilize food prices and ensure adequate supplies for both human consumption and animal feed needs.

Key Points: FAO Forecasts Record Global Cereal Production and Stocks for 2025

  • Global cereal production expected to reach 2,971 million tonnes with 3.8% annual growth
  • Wheat output boosted by Australia while US maize and India rice show gains
  • World cereal stocks projected to expand to 900.2 million tonnes by 2026
  • International cereal trade forecast to grow 2.5% reaching 497.1 million tonnes
2 min read

New FAO forecasts point to higher cereal production, utilisation, stocks, trade

FAO projects 2,971 million tonnes global cereal output, highest growth since 2013, with increased utilization, record stocks, and expanding international trade.

"World cereal total utilisation in 2025/26 is now forecast to rise to 2 930 million tonnes - FAO Cereal Supply and Demand Brief"

Rome, October 5

The Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO) released updated forecasts for global cereal production in 2025, with total output now pegged at 2 971 million tonnes, up 3.8% from last year's level and marking the largest annual growth since 2013.

The new Cereal Supply and Demand Brief attributed the upward revisions to higher production prospects across all crops. Notable increases are anticipated for wheat in Australia, maize in the United States of America, and rice in India.

World cereal total utilisation in 2025/26 is now forecast to rise to 2 930 million tonnes, with plentiful supplies available for both human consumption and animal feed.

Global cereal stocks are forecast to expand by the close of seasons in 2026 to 900.2 million tonnes, with world rice reserves possibly reaching a record high. The global cereal stocks-to-use ratio in 2025/26 is expected to remain virtually unchanged at 30.6%, continuing to indicate comfortable global supply prospects.

FAO's new forecasts point to a 2.5% annual increase in international cereal trade, now predicted to reach 497.1 million tonnes. The rise is due to an anticipated notable growth in the world wheat trade, while international rice trade is expected to decline due to lower demand by Asian and African countries, reflecting good local harvests and large purchases made in 2025. (ANI/WAM)

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
While the numbers look positive globally, I'm concerned about how this translates to the common Indian household. Food inflation has been hitting middle-class families hard despite good production numbers.
D
David E
Interesting to see rice trade declining due to good local harvests in Asia and Africa. This shows how agricultural self-sufficiency is becoming more achievable in developing nations.
A
Ananya R
The record high rice reserves are comforting, especially with climate uncertainties. But we need better storage infrastructure in India to prevent post-harvest losses. So much grain gets wasted every year! 😔
S
Sarah B
As someone working in agricultural exports, these forecasts are crucial for planning. The 2.5% increase in cereal trade indicates stable global markets despite regional variations.
V
Vikram M
Good news overall, but I hope the government focuses on water conservation and sustainable farming practices. We can't keep increasing production at the cost of groundwater depletion.

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