Key Points

India's smartphone market is poised for growth, driven by government incentives and global interest in local manufacturing. Despite a 7% YoY shipment decline in Q1 2025, premium and 5G segments showed strong demand. Offline sales dominated, while brands focused on inventory clearance for sustainable expansion. The ultra-premium segment and affordable 5G devices are reshaping consumer trends.

Key Points: India Smartphone Market Growth Boosted by Manufacturing Push and 5G Demand

  • India's smartphone market set for low single-digit growth in 2025
  • Ultra-premium segment grew 15% YoY despite Q1 shipment decline
  • 5G adoption surged with 87% share in total shipments
  • Offline channels dominated with 65% market share
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India's smartphone market set to grow over favorable economic outlook, global interest in Indian manufacturing: Report

India's smartphone market sees steady growth amid manufacturing incentives and strong 5G adoption, though Q1 2025 shipments dipped due to inventory adjustments.

"India’s smartphone market shifted focus toward sustainable growth, clearing excess inventory while premium demand stayed strong. – Prachir Singh, Counterpoint Research"

New Delhi, May 1

India's smartphone market is expected to grow at a low single-digit rate this year, driven by a favorable economic outlook and increasing global interest in Indian manufacturing, market intelligence research firm Counterpoint Research asserted.

The central government has been aggressively promoting indigenous manufacturing of mobile phones. It also provides incentives to the manufacturers to set up shops in India.

Lower tariffs compared to China and Vietnam are positioning 'Made in India' devices as a more cost-effective option for US importers, while the potential for enhanced bilateral trade between the US and India could further strengthen the country's appeal as a global smartphone manufacturing hub, the research firm said in a report.

In the first quarter of 2025, India's smartphone shipments, however, declined - by 7 per cent year-on-year, according to the latest research from Counterpoint's Monthly India Smartphone Tracker.

The research firm noted that high inventory levels impacted shipments during the first quarter. Besides, there was a 26 per cent drop in the number of new launches.

Senior Research Analyst Prachir Singh said, "In Q1 2025, India's smartphone market shifted its focus towards preparing for more sustainable and structured growth. Key brands, dealing with high inventory levels, prioritized clearing excess stock to stabilize operations and set a stronger foundation for the remainder of the year. Despite this inventory adjustment, consumer demand for ultra-premium products remained strong."

In the January-March 2025 quarter, the ultra-premium segment (>Rs 45,000) saw 15 per cent year-on-year growth, while the average selling price (ASP) increased at an 11 per cent CAGR post-Covid, highlighting a shift toward premium devices.

"This continued premiumization trend was further supported by growing affordability and expanding financing options, which made high-end devices accessible to a broader consumer base," Singh said. Singh added, "However, despite low inflation and government efforts to push spending, consumer sentiment remained cautious, especially in the budget segment."

5G smartphones captured a record-high share of 87 per cent in total shipments in Q1 2025. Remarkably, the sub-Rs 10,000 segment witnessed an exponential surge in 5G adoption, with its four-digit year-on-year growth highlighting the accelerated diffusion of 5G into the mass-market entry-level segment.

Offline channels remained strong during the quarter, accounting for 65 per cent of the overall market. Brands ramped up in-store promotions and regional outreach, especially in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, Counterpoint Research noted in the report. The online share was steady at 35 per cent.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rahul K.
Great to see India becoming a smartphone manufacturing hub! 🇮🇳 The PLI scheme is clearly working. But we need to focus more on component manufacturing too - right now we're mostly just assembling imported parts. Full 'Make in India' should be the goal!
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Priya M.
The premium segment growth shows how aspirational Indian consumers have become. But what about rural areas? We need more affordable 4G options too - not everyone can afford 5G phones yet. Government should push for <10k phones with better specs.
A
Amit S.
Interesting how offline channels dominate with 65% share. In my hometown in UP, people still prefer touching phones before buying. E-commerce companies should open more experience centers in smaller cities to bridge this gap.
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Sanjay P.
The 7% decline in shipments is concerning. Companies need to understand Indian consumers better - we want value for money, not just premium phones. More innovation in mid-range segment (15-25k) would be ideal for most buyers like me.
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Neha T.
Excited about the 5G growth! 🎉 But telecom companies need to improve network coverage outside metros. What's the use of 5G phone if networks are patchy? Government should push for better infrastructure along with manufacturing incentives.
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Vikram J.
While the growth is good, I'm worried about e-waste. With so many new models and rapid upgrades, we need strict recycling policies. 'Make in India' should include 'Recycle in India' initiatives too for sustainable growth.

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