Indian stock markets end week lower amid trade deal concerns, profit booking

IANS July 5, 2025 453 views

Indian stock markets closed lower as investors remained cautious ahead of the US-India trade deadline. Profit booking after recent gains and mixed global cues contributed to the decline. Defensive sectors like IT and healthcare outperformed, while banking and auto stocks faced pressure. Analysts suggest a breakout above 25,600 could signal the next rally phase.

"The cautious tone was evident with the looming trade deadline. However, optimism around a potential agreement between India and the US acted as a cushion." – Ajit Mishra, Religare Broking
Indian stock markets end week lower amid trade deal concerns, profit booking
Mumbai, July 5: The Indian equity markets closed lower for the week as investors turned cautious ahead of the crucial July 9 US-India trade deadline and the start of the corporate earnings season, experts said on Saturday.

Key Points

1

Sensex and Nifty fell 0.7% amid global uncertainty

2

Profit booking dampened momentum after recent rally

3

IT and healthcare stocks outperformed

4

RBI’s Rs 2.69 lakh crore dividend supported fiscal health

Both benchmark indices -- the Sensex and the Nifty -- slipped 0.7 per cent each on a weekly basis, as broader market sentiment remained clouded by global uncertainty and profit booking after the recent rally.

The Nifty ended the week at 25,461, while the Sensex closed at 83,432.89. The indices had started the week with a strong breakout, but the momentum faded amid concerns over a possible delay in finalising trade agreements.

However, reports suggesting an interim deal between India and the US helped limit the downside in the latter half of the week.

According to Ajit Mishra of Religare Broking Limited, the pullback was largely driven by investors booking profits following recent gains.

“The cautious tone was evident with the looming trade deadline. However, optimism around a potential agreement between India and the US acted as a cushion,” he noted.

India’s fiscal health remained strong, supported by a robust Rs 2.69 lakh crore dividend transfer from the RBI, which helped contain the fiscal deficit at just 0.8 per cent of the annual target.

June GST collections also remained firm, rising 6.2 per cent year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 1.84 lakh crore.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services, said, “The week saw some consolidation after sharp gains in previous sessions. Global cues remained mixed, and investors preferred to stay on the sidelines ahead of the US tariff decision."

“FIIs turned cautious due to high valuations, but support from DIIs kept the market from falling sharply,” Nair mentioned.

From a sectoral perspective, defensive sectors like IT and healthcare outperformed, supported by stock-specific action and stable demand.

Meanwhile, rate-sensitive sectors such as banking, auto, and realty witnessed pressure from profit booking.

FMCG stocks also edged lower. Defence stocks, however, saw strong buying after the government cleared several high-value contracts.

Technically, the market entered a consolidation phase. Bajaj Broking Research noted that the Nifty has formed a small bear candle with a higher high and low on the weekly chart, signalling consolidation amid stock specific action after the recent strong upward move.

“Key support levels are seen around 25,150–25,200, coinciding with the 20-day exponential moving average, while resistance is expected near the 25,600–25,740 zone,” according to Angel One.

“A breakout above this range could trigger the next leg of the rally,” the brokerage added.

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
As a small investor, these fluctuations scare me 😟 I just hope the government handles the trade negotiations well. Defense stocks doing well is good news though - Make in India is working!
A
Arjun K
Markets will bounce back stronger after this consolidation phase. The RBI dividend is a game changer for fiscal stability. Smart money is just waiting on the sidelines - perfect time to identify quality stocks at reasonable valuations.
S
Sarah B
The IT sector outperforming makes complete sense - our tech companies are globally competitive regardless of trade deals. This dip might be a good entry point for long-term investors who missed the earlier rally.
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Vikram M
While the short-term outlook seems uncertain, we must remember India's growth story remains intact. The GST collections show our consumption economy is doing well. This is just a temporary blip in a long-term bull market.
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Kavya N
The analysts keep talking about support and resistance levels, but honestly it feels like guesswork sometimes 🙄 I wish financial media would explain things in simpler terms for retail investors like me.
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Michael C
Interesting to see how Indian markets are maturing - reacting to global cues while maintaining their own rhythm. The RBI's strong dividend payout shows excellent central bank management. This volatility creates opportunities for disciplined investors.

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