Key Points

Indian NBFCs anticipate slower education loan growth at 25% this fiscal as US policy changes dent demand. They're pivoting to Europe and domestic skill-development loans to counter the slump. Asset quality remains stable but faces risks from prolonged moratoriums. Analysts warn scaling new products while managing global uncertainties will be key.

Key Points: Indian NBFCs Expect 25% Education Loan Growth Despite US Policy Shifts

  • US visa cuts slash Indian NBFC education loan disbursements by 30%
  • Diversification to UK, Germany doubles disbursements in FY25
  • Domestic loans for skills, schools to offset global risks
  • NPAs stable but 85% AUM under moratorium raises caution
3 min read

Indian NBFCs to clock 25 pc growth in education loan AUM in FY26 amid US uncertainties

Indian NBFCs forecast 25% AUM growth in education loans for FY26 as US visa curbs push diversification to UK, Germany, and domestic markets.

"Policy uncertainties in the US... have culled newer loan originations – Malvika Bhotika, Crisil Ratings"

New Delhi, July 9

For non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) in India, education loans have been the fastest-growing asset class, clocking over 50 per cent growth in the assets under management (AUM) over the past few years, a report said on Wednesday. This fiscal (FY26), growth is seen moderating to 25 per cent with AUM reaching Rs 80,000 crore.

The pace is likely to halve this fiscal as disbursements for pursuing educational courses in the US decelerate following a raft of policy changes in that country, according to the report by Crisil Rating.

To mitigate the impact, NBFCs are diversifying into new geographies and product adjacencies. While non-performing assets (NPAs) have remained stable so far, asset quality will be monitorable given the global uncertainties and a large proportion of AUM (85) remaining under contractual principal moratorium, the report mentioned.

The education loan AUM of NBFCs grew a rapid 48 per cent to Rs 64,000 crore last fiscal. That followed an even faster 77 per cent growth in fiscal 2024.

“Policy uncertainties in the US, combined with measures including reduced visa appointments and the proposed elimination of Optional Practical Training norms have culled newer loan originations. This has led to a 30 per cent decline in total disbursements to that geography last fiscal,” said Malvika Bhotika, Director, Crisil Ratings.

Disbursements linked to even Canada, the second-largest market, fell as student visa rules turned stricter, including increased financial requirements via proof of available funds, and cap on permits.

“Consequently, overall education loan disbursements were up only 8 per cent in fiscal 2025, compared with 50 per cent in fiscal 2024, Bhotika mentioned.

To offset these headwinds, NBFCs have sharpened focus on other geographies.

Disbursements linked to courses in the UK, Germany, Ireland and smaller countries have doubled in the past fiscal as students opted for alternative destinations.

The share of such geographies in total disbursements rose to almost 50 per cent in fiscal 2025 from 25 per cent a year ago.

NBFCs are also looking at domestic student loans and adjacencies such as school funding, loans for skill development, certification and coaching. Given the lower ticket sizes of such loans, their share in the overall portfolio is unlikely to be material, but they may lend some stability in times of global uncertainties.

“The ability of NBFCs to scale up and maintain asset quality in some of the newer domestic products will bear watching as well,” said Sonica Gupta, Associate Director, Crisil Ratings. Moreover, the agility of the NBFCs to navigate the complexities of the global landscape, characterised by uncertainty and change in preferences of students, will be crucial for sustained growth and success.

—IANS

- IANS

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Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
As someone who took an education loan last year for UK studies, I must say NBFCs processed everything very quickly. But interest rates could be better - paying 11.5% is quite steep compared to nationalized banks.
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Priya S
Why aren't we focusing more on domestic education loans? With IITs and IIMs ranking among world's best, students should consider Indian institutions too. Would save so much foreign exchange!
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Rohit P
The 85% moratorium figure is concerning. What happens if job markets abroad don't recover? NBFCs might face big NPAs. RBI should monitor this closely 👀
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Kavya N
My brother got loan for Germany last month. Processing was smooth but they charged 2% processing fee + GST. These hidden costs make foreign education even more expensive 😔
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Michael C
Interesting how quickly NBFCs adapted to new markets. The doubling of disbursements to UK/Germany shows Indian financial sector's resilience. Could be case study material!
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Divya L
Skill development loans are the need of hour! Instead of just funding foreign degrees, NBFCs should partner with Indian edtechs for vocational courses. More employment potential here 🇮🇳

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