Key Points

India's engineering exports dipped slightly in May 2025 due to geopolitical tensions and a high base effect. Aircraft and ship exports saw the sharpest declines, while the US market remained resilient. The EEPC India chairman warned of logistics challenges and competition in key markets. Despite the monthly drop, cumulative April-May exports still grew by 4.77%.

Key Points: India Engineering Exports Dip in May 2025 Amid Geopolitical Tensions

  • Engineering exports fell 0.82% to $9.89B in May 2025
  • Aircraft & ship exports dropped 85% and 25% respectively
  • US remained top market with 4.6% growth
  • UAE, Saudi Arabia, and China saw sharp declines
2 min read

Indian engineering exports face headwinds in May 2025 amid geopolitical tensions

India's engineering exports fell 0.82% in May 2025 due to Middle East tensions and high base effect, with aircraft and ship exports hit hardest.

"The decline can be explained by growing geopolitical tensions and rising logistics threats. – Pankaj Chadha, EEPC India"

New Delhi June 26

India's engineering goods exports experienced a marginal 0.82 per cent year-on-year dip in May 2025, to USD 9.89 billion, weighed down by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and West Asia, and a high statistical base from the previous year, according to a recent report by EEPC India.

A significant factor in the overall decline was the sharp fall in exports of 'aircraft, spacecraft and parts,' which slumped by 85 per cent, and 'ships, boats and floating structures,' down by 25 per cent year-on-year in May 2025.

The report also mentions that, shipments to the US, India's top engineering export destination, remained positive with a 4.6 per cent year-on-year growth to USD 1.74 billion, exports to other major markets showed a mixed trend. While, engineering exports to the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey saw a substantial decline.

"The decline can be explained by the growing geopolitical tensions in the area and the rising threat to logistics. Export of aluminium and its products was also hit due to increased competition in the ASEAN region. Decline was also noted in exports of metals like zinc and lead, and aircraft, spacecraft, and parts," said Pankaj Chadha, Chairman, EEPC India.

Additionally, exports to China also registered a 5.1 per cent year-on-year decline, reaching USD 207.36 million in May 2025. However, countries like Germany, the UK, Japan, Italy, Nepal, Brazil, South Africa, and the Netherlands recorded positive growth. Conversely, Mexico, Turkey, and Vietnam experienced negative growth in engineering exports.

However, despite the monthly dip, India's engineering exports showed resilience on a cumulative basis, recording a 4.77 per cent growth to USD 19.40 billion during the April-May period of 2025-26, up from USD 18.52 billion in the same period last fiscal.

"In these circumstances, India has to adopt a cautious approach. The guidance and support from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry would be crucial for the industry, especially in developing new technologies in upcoming areas, including rare earth magnets and exploring new markets," said Pankaj Chadha.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rajesh K.
The 85% drop in aircraft exports is worrying. We need to focus more on high-tech manufacturing under Make in India. China's declining imports from us shows we need to reduce dependency on any single market. Atmanirbhar Bharat is the way forward! 🇮🇳
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Priya M.
Positive growth in Nepal and other countries shows there are still opportunities. Maybe we should focus more on our immediate neighbors through BBIN initiative. The Middle East situation is temporary - our exporters should be patient.
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Amit S.
The government needs to provide better export insurance against geopolitical risks. Many small exporters are scared to ship to conflict zones. Also, why no mention of rupee trade with Russia? That could be helping balance the losses elsewhere.
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Sunita R.
As someone working in engineering exports, I can say logistics costs have become a nightmare. Shipping lines are charging premium rates for Middle East routes. Government should intervene before we lose more contracts to Vietnam and Thailand.
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Vikram J.
The cumulative growth shows resilience, but we can't ignore the warning signs. Need more FTAs with growing markets in Africa and Latin America. Also, why are we still struggling with rare earth tech when China controls 90% of the market? Wake up call!
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Neha P.
Mixed feelings about this report. On one hand, US growth is good news. But the aircraft sector decline is shocking! Maybe time to revisit our aerospace policies. Also happy to see Nepal doing well - stronger neighborhood trade benefits everyone. ✨

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