Key Points

The India-US trade deal negotiations have hit a major roadblock due to additional tariffs imposed by Washington. GTRI argues that progress is impossible unless the US rolls back its 25% duty linked to India's Russian oil imports. India must hold firm on protecting its agricultural and dairy sectors which are vital for millions of farmers. Both countries have resumed talks aiming for a bilateral trade agreement by late 2025 despite the current impasse.

Key Points: India US Trade Deal Stalled Until Trump Drops 25% Russian Oil Tariffs

  • US must remove 25% tariff linked to Russian oil purchases
  • India should protect agriculture and dairy sectors as livelihood issues
  • GTRI recommends India file formal objections through US courts
  • Both countries aim for trade agreement completion by late 2025
3 min read

India-US trade deal breakthrough unlikely till Trump drops 25% oil-linked tariffs, GTRI says

GTRI report says India-US trade talks face deadlock unless Washington removes 25% oil-linked tariffs. Negotiations resume as both sides seek breakthrough.

"Negotiations will remain slow unless Washington signals genuine flexibility - GTRI Report"

New Delhi, September 16

Any progress on the India-US trade deal front largely hinges on Washington rolling back the Russian oil-linked additional 25 per cent duty on India, and no breakthrough is likely without it, India-based trade-focused think tank Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) has argued as both countries started talks on Tuesday.

"Negotiations will remain slow unless Washington signals genuine flexibility," the GTRI report argued.

It believes that there is no quick fix and India must prepare for a long haul.

India and the United States are back at the negotiating table today in New Delhi to revive trade talks after a hiatus.

The US delegation, led by Assistant USTR for South and Central Asia Brendan Lynch, is meeting Indian counterparts for the first time since President Donald Trump imposed an additional 25 per cent tariff on Indian goods from August 27 for what it said was "purchasing Russian oil" -- on top of the 25 per cent reciprocal tariffs already in place since August 7.

According to GTRI, the US looks desperate to close a trade deal with India, even as its officials almost daily use "disparaging language" against New Delhi from public platforms.

GTRI suggested that India must hold firm on agriculture and dairy, which it views not as trade issues but livelihood concerns for several hundred million farmers.

"The challenge will be how much India concedes without undermining regulatory autonomy or economic sovereignty," it added.

It reiterated that until Washington withdraws the additional 25 per cent tariff, progress is unlikely.

"India, in the meantime, should formally record its objections -- potentially through an amicus curiae brief at the US Supreme Court -- to support US businesses challenging the tariffs and keep the negotiation window open," the GTRI report concluded.

Over the past few months, India and the US have been negotiating for an interim trade deal. Still, there were reservations from the Indian side on the US demand for opening up the agricultural and dairy sectors. Agriculture and dairy are critical for India as these two sectors mainly provide livelihood opportunities to a large section of people.

India and the US initiated talks for a just, balanced, and mutually beneficial Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in March this year, aiming to complete the first stage of the Agreement by October-November 2025.

Initially, US President Donald Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on Indian goods, even as there were hopes of an interim India-US trade deal that would have otherwise helped avoid elevated tariffs. A few days later, he imposed another 25 per cent tariff, taking the total to 50 per cent, citing India's continued imports of Russian oil.

The 50 per cent tariffs came into effect on August 27.

US President Donald Trump had imposed reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries with which the US has a trade deficit. Since assuming office for his second term, President Trump has reiterated his stance on tariff reciprocity, emphasising that his administration will match tariffs imposed by other countries, including India, to "ensure fair trade".

- ANI

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Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
As someone working in international trade, I think India should stand firm. The 50% tariffs are unreasonable and linked to geopolitical issues beyond trade. Good that GTRI is calling this out.
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Priya S
Trump's administration using "disparaging language" while wanting a trade deal shows their double standards. India should negotiate from strength, not desperation. Our economy is strong enough to wait them out.
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Michael C
While I understand India's position, both countries need to find middle ground. The trade relationship is too important for both economies. Hope the negotiators can find a pragmatic solution.
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Aditya G
The Russian oil linkage is just an excuse. The US has been trying to break into our agricultural markets for years. Glad our government is protecting our farmers' interests. Jai Kisan! 🚜
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Nisha Z
We should explore other markets too instead of being dependent on US trade. This might be a blessing in disguise to diversify our export destinations. Time to look at Africa, Latin America more seriously.

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