Key Points

Economist Surjit Bhalla believes a US trade deal could push India’s growth beyond 7.5%. He argues that external pressure from Washington is helping India implement overdue reforms. India is already the fastest-growing major economy but hasn’t reached its full potential yet. Bhalla also links defence spending to economic confidence and national security.

Key Points: Surjit Bhalla Says India-US Trade Deal Could Accelerate Growth

  • US trade deal may push India’s GDP growth to 7.5-8.5%
  • Bhalla credits Trump’s pressure for accelerating reforms
  • India is fastest-growing major economy but below potential
  • Defence spending boosts both security and economic confidence
2 min read

India-US trade deal could accelerate growth: Surjit Bhalla

Economist Surjit Bhalla highlights how US trade pressure could drive India’s economic reforms and boost GDP growth beyond 7.5%.

"If it happens, our growth could accelerate to a much higher level – Surjit Bhalla"

New Delhi, July 1

A potential trade agreement between India and the United States could significantly boost India’s economic growth, senior economist and former IMF Executive Director Dr Surjit Bhalla said on Tuesday.

He believes that external pressure from Washington, including tariff-related deadlines under President Donald Trump, is helping India push long-needed economic reforms.

"If it happens, our growth could accelerate to a much higher level," Bhalla told IANS in an exclusive interview, referring to the trade deal currently under negotiation.

"I don’t see them (US) as threats. In fact, the US and even Trump are doing us a favour by pushing us to reform," the famed economist added.

His remarks come as Indian and American negotiators work towards finalising an interim trade agreement ahead of the July 9 deadline to avoid proposed US tariffs on Indian exports.

According to a Financial Times report, the deal could be concluded as early as this week and may pave the way for a broader free trade agreement by year-end.

Bhalla also praised India’s achievement of becoming the world’s fourth-largest economy and the fastest-growing among major economies.

He pointed out that while the country’s current growth rate of 6.5 per cent is impressive, India has the potential to grow even faster -- at around 7.5 per cent to 8.5 per cent --thanks to gains in productivity driven by improved education and healthcare.

“It’s great that we are the fastest-growing large economy… but we’re not reaching our full potential yet,” he said, adding that economic success should be measured by how close a country is to its potential, not just raw GDP growth figures.

He also welcomed the government’s efforts to strengthen national security through initiatives like Operation Sindhu Sudarshan.

“Defence is a core national priority. More defence spending leads to more security and strengthens the economy,” Bhalla said, calling the operation a step that boosts both preparedness and economic confidence.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
While I appreciate Dr. Bhalla's optimism, I'm concerned about what concessions we might be making to the US. Remember how previous trade deals affected our farmers? Hope this time the government protects our domestic industries properly.
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Arjun K
Bhalla sahab makes valid points about productivity gains. But 8.5% growth needs more than just trade deals - we need better infrastructure, less red tape, and skilled workforce development. Hope the government focuses on these fundamentals too.
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Sarah B
As someone working in export sector, this news is very encouraging! The US market has huge potential for Indian goods. Just hope the deal includes fair terms for IT services and pharmaceuticals - our strongest sectors.
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Karthik V
Good analysis but the article misses one key point - how will this benefit common aam aadmi? Will it create jobs? Reduce prices? Improve quality of products? These are what matter to most Indians, not just GDP numbers.
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Nisha Z
👏👏 Finally someone acknowledging that defense spending boosts economy! Operation Sindhu Sudarshan shows our commitment to security while creating jobs in defense manufacturing. Win-win for national security and economic growth.

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