Sensex Soars 545 Points to Close 2025 Strong; Silver Plunges 8%

Indian equity markets closed 2025 on a positive note, with the Sensex rising 545 points driven by value buying and short covering. However, annual gains of 8-10% were modest compared to previous years, amid sustained foreign investor selling and uncertainty over the India-US trade deal. Analysts highlight that corporate earnings growth in 2026 will be crucial for market direction and foreign fund flows. In parallel, silver prices corrected sharply by over 8%, though the longer-term bullish view remains intact.

Key Points: Sensex Rises 545 Points, Silver Corrects: 2025 Market Wrap

  • Sensex gains 0.64% on year-end
  • 2025 returns lower than recent years
  • Silver prices correct over 8%
  • Focus shifts to Q3 earnings and budget
4 min read

India stocks sign off 2025 on strong note; Sensex rises 545 points; Silver corrects sharply

Indian stocks ended 2025 strong with Sensex up 545 points. Analysts eye 2026 earnings, budget, and trade deals. Silver prices corrected sharply by over 8%.

"Earnings growth will be the single most important factor determining the market trend in 2026. - VK Vijayakumar, Geojit"

New Delhi, December 31

Indian stock indices jumped substantially on Wednesday, the last day of 2025, supported largely by value buying after the year-end thin trade.

Sensex jumped 0.64 per cent or 545 points to 85,220 points, while Nifty rose 191 points or 0.74 per cent to 26,130 points.

The domestic stock market opened with marginal gains on Wednesday, reflecting a balanced but soft mood among investors amid thin year-end volumes and limited global cues.

According to analysts, going ahead, market participants will keep a close watch on news flow on the India-US trade deal front, auto sales data, Budget announcements, Q3 earnings, among other key global indicators.

"The market has the potential for a directional move upwards but is being weighed down by sustained FII selling and absence of fresh triggers like positive news on the US-India trade front," said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Limited .

The coming days are going to be eventful, starting with the auto sales data for December, Q3 corporate results, expectations from the budget and other news relating to global economy like the possible US Fed action in 2026, Vijayakumar said.

"The Q3 results have to be watched carefully for indications of uptick in earnings. This is significant since there is lot of hope that there will be a rebound in earnings, going forward. Earnings growth will be the single most important factor determining the market trend in 2026. The FII flows in 2026, too, will depend on the earnings performance and expectations surrounding that," Vijayakumar further asserted.

Sensex and Nifty cumulatively rose 8-10 per cent in 2025, lower than the recent year trends.

Market participants remained cautious, with experts pointing to low foreign investor participation. Foreign portfolio investors remained net sellers in India in 2025, data showed. Overall, Indian equity markets had largely been choppy over the past months, barring some bullish days, as investors remained uncertain over the trade deal with the United States, which imposed a 50 per cent tariff on Indian goods.

In 2024, Sensex and Nifty accumulated a growth of about 9-10 per cent each. In 2023, Sensex and Nifty gained 16-17 per cent, on a cumulative basis. In 2022, they gained a mere 3 per cent each.

"The (today's) session reflected a gradual improvement in risk appetite into year-end, driven primarily by short covering and selective buying, rather than aggressive fresh positioning. Sentiment across the metal space turned positive after the government announced a three-year safeguard duty of around 11-12% on select steel imports, aimed at shielding domestic producers from cheaper overseas supply. The impressive, broad-based rally witnessed today has set the stage for the next directional move in the early part of the new year, with improving sentiment encouraging investors to reassess positioning amid renewed risk appetite," said Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, a SEBI-registered online trading and wealth tech firm.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited, said markets ended the 2025 on a strong note, posting a broad-based recovery.

"Looking ahead, expectations are rising for a constructive rebound in 2026, supported by improving demand conditions. Investor sentiment is likely to hinge on corporate earnings and a potential uptick in nominal GDP growth. Metal stocks led gains today after the government announced import tariffs on steel products. Meanwhile, the oil and gas sector outperformed on the back of anticipated stable demand and stronger refining margins," Nair noted.

In another news today, international silver traded sharply lower, declining over 8 per cent at the time of filing this report. Taking cues from global markets, silver on MCX too declined sharply - down over 5 per cent at the time of filing this report -- at Rs 2.37 lakh per kg.

"Despite the near-term pressure, the longer-term bullish framework remains intact," Ponmudi R said. "The broader trend continues to favour accumulation on dips."

As per reports, international silver prices rose by approximately 140-158 per cent in 2025.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Good to see the markets ending in green, but the 8-10% growth for the year is still lower than before. The constant FII selling is a worry. Hope the US trade deal issues get resolved soon, that's the biggest overhang on our markets right now.
V
Vikram M
That silver correction is brutal! Down 5% on MCX. I know it had a massive run-up this year, but such sharp falls shake confidence. The analysts say "accumulate on dips," but it's easier said than done when you see your portfolio value drop like that.
R
Rohit P
The safeguard duty on steel is a smart move by the government. It protects our domestic industry and that's why metal stocks rallied. Atmanirbhar Bharat in action. This kind of policy support is crucial for long-term growth.
S
Sarah B
Reading this from an expat perspective. The Indian market's resilience is impressive despite global headwinds and FII outflows. The key for 2026, as the article says, is earnings growth. The fundamentals need to catch up with the valuations.
K
Karthik V
A respectful criticism: The article and many experts keep talking about "potential" and "expectations." We heard the same for 2025. Let's see concrete results—better earnings, resolved trade tensions—before getting too excited. Action over words, please.
M

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