Key Points

Jefferies believes India remains positioned for long-term wealth creation despite recent market underperformance. The brokerage highlights particular strength in small- and mid-cap stocks with strong growth potential. Auto stocks are expected to benefit significantly from GST reforms with demand rising after September 22. The report projects 10% annual earnings growth through FY27 supported by reasonable valuations and easing earnings downgrades.

Key Points: Jefferies Says India Ripe for Long-Term Alpha Creation Despite Underperformance

  • Small- and mid-cap stocks offer strong growth opportunities despite recent corrections
  • Automobile sector to benefit significantly from GST cut after September 22
  • India's valuation premium over emerging markets has sharply declined
  • Corporate earnings expected to grow 10% annually through FY26-27
2 min read

India remains 'ripe for long-term alpha creation', says Jefferies

Jefferies report highlights India's strong growth potential in small-mid caps, auto sector benefits from GST reforms, and 10% annual earnings growth through FY27.

"The Indian stock market is slowly regaining momentum, supported by expectations of an earnings boost from the recently approved GST 2.0 reforms - Jefferies"

New Delhi, Sep 9

Despite recent market underperformance and global uncertainties, India remains well-positioned for long-term wealth creation, a new report said on Tuesday.

The data compiled by global brokerage Jefferies believes that small- and mid-cap stocks in particular offer strong growth opportunities, even as large caps show limited upside.

Analysts believe that the automobile sector will be among the biggest beneficiaries of the GST cut, with demand expected to rise sharply after September 22.

Auto stocks have already reacted positively and are likely to remain strong despite their recent rally.

“The Indian stock market is slowly regaining momentum, supported by expectations of an earnings boost from the recently approved GST 2.0 reforms,” the brokerage firm said.

Jefferies noted that while the Nifty has declined 0.65 per cent over the past year and small- and midcap indices have also corrected, the broader market is setting up for stronger performance ahead.

Easing earnings downgrades, reasonable valuations, and a sharp fall in India’s premium compared to other emerging markets are among the key positives.

“The slowdown in earnings downgrades, reasonable valuation metrics, and a sharp fall in India’s valuation premium compared to other emerging markets are creating a more balanced environment,” the brokerage said.

The brokerage expects India’s corporate earnings to grow at 10 per cent annually between FY26 and FY27.

On market strategy, Jefferies advised investors to avoid extreme bets and said that “compounders” have been performing the best this year.

The brokerage also sees value in laggard stocks and multibaggers that can generate strong alpha.

Meanwhile, recent SEBI changes and flat market returns have sparked fresh interest among high-net-worth investors in specialised investment funds (SIFs).

These funds allow unhedged short positions of up to 25 per cent of net asset value.

Jefferies said it is introducing new long-short and short-only strategies in this space using factors like momentum, earnings revision, free cash flow, valuations, and company size.

- IANS

Share this article:

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
While the analysis seems optimistic, I'd caution retail investors to be careful with small and mid caps. The volatility can be brutal for those who don't understand the risks. Always do your own research beyond brokerage reports.
A
Arjun K
Auto stocks have been my focus since the GST announcement. Maruti and Tata Motors already showing good movement. Jefferies' analysis aligns with what I've been tracking. Bharat's growth story remains intact! 🇮🇳
S
Sarah B
As an NRI investor, I find Indian markets particularly attractive compared to other emerging markets. The valuation premium reduction mentioned in the article is exactly why I'm increasing my exposure to Indian equities.
V
Vikram M
Compounders have been working well for me this year. Instead of chasing multibaggers, focusing on quality companies with consistent growth has given better risk-adjusted returns. Good advice from Jefferies!
K
Karthik V
The SIFs with short positions capability is interesting for HNI investors. Provides better hedging options in volatile markets. Might consider this for portfolio diversification. Good to see innovation in investment products.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50