Key Points

India's manufacturing sector is showing promising signs of recovery with potential GST reforms on the horizon. Economists are optimistic about increased consumption during the upcoming festive season. The infrastructure and construction sectors have already demonstrated robust growth, registering a 10.6% year-on-year increase. Public capital expenditure remains a key driver of economic momentum amid global uncertainties.

Key Points: GST Reforms to Boost Manufacturing and Festive Demand

  • GST rationalisation expected to enhance consumption demand
  • Manufacturing output shows potential for growth in September-October
  • Infrastructure sector registers 10.6% year-on-year surge
  • Public capex continues to drive investment momentum
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GST rationalisation to augur well for manufacturing output in September-October

Economists predict GST rationalization will drive manufacturing growth and consumption during September-October 2025 festive season

"Consumption trends will remain a key monitorable, with GST reforms expected to provide a much-needed fillip to the demand scenario - Rajani Sinha, CareEdge Ratings"

New Delhi, Sep 29

The GST rationalisation is expected to boost consumption demand during the festive season, which is likely to augur well for manufacturing output in September-October 2025, once the older inventories are off the shelves, economists said on Monday.

The IIP growth was recorded at 4 per cent in August 2025. Mining output witnessed a year-on-year expansion after a gap of four months, and growth in electricity generation inched up to a 5-month high in the month.

"On the use-based side, the growth in primary goods output accelerated to a 7-month high of 5.2 per cent in August 2025, reflecting the trends in mining and electricity generation, even as all the other five sub-segments witnessed a deterioration in their growth performance vis-a-vis July 2025," ICRA's Chief Economist Aditi Nayar said.

The infrastructure and construction sector clocked a double-digit surge of 10.6 per cent in August compared with the same month of the previous year on the back of big-ticket government projects being implemented in the highways, railways and ports sectors.

Within the manufacturing sector, 10 out of 23 industry groups recorded a positive growth in August this year compared to the same month of the previous year.

On the investment front, infrastructure/construction goods continued to register a healthy growth, rising by 10.6 per cent. Public capex continues to drive the investment momentum, while private capex remains sluggish amid persistent global uncertainties.

"Consumption trends will remain a key monitorable, with GST reforms expected to provide a much-needed fillip to the demand scenario ahead of the festive season," CareEdge Ratings' Chief Economist Rajani Sinha said.

Additionally, income tax reductions, lower food inflation, and RBI rate cuts provide a supportive backdrop for consumption.

"In the midst of a challenging external environment, a revival in domestic demand aided by these factors can help spur private capex and support the overall IIP growth going forward," Sinha added.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
While the infrastructure growth at 10.6% is impressive, I'm concerned about private capex remaining sluggish. We need more private investment to sustain this growth momentum in the long run.
A
Aditya G
The timing with Diwali and other festivals is perfect. Lower GST rates will definitely encourage people to spend more on electronics, vehicles, and consumer goods. Good for both manufacturers and consumers!
S
Sarah B
As someone working in manufacturing, I can see the positive impact already. Our factory in Pune has started getting more orders for the festive season. Hope this continues beyond October too.
M
Michael C
The combination of GST reforms, tax cuts, and lower inflation is exactly what our economy needs. This holistic approach should boost both consumption and investment. Well planned!
N
Nikhil C
I appreciate the government's focus on infrastructure projects, but I hope the GST benefits actually reach the common man. Sometimes these policies look good on paper but implementation is key.

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