Gold & Silver Soar to Record Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Rate Cut Hopes

Gold and silver prices surged to record highs, with MCX gold futures rising 0.72% to Rs 1,39,091 and silver jumping 3.56% to Rs 2,31,759. Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Venezuela, alongside expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, fueled safe-haven buying. Analysts cite aggressive central bank purchasing, steady ETF inflows, and concerns over US tariffs as key drivers for the rally this year. Rahul Kalantri of Mehta Equities provided key support and resistance levels, noting gold has support at Rs 1,36,550-1,35,710.

Key Points: Gold, Silver Hit Record Highs on Geopolitical Tensions, Fed Rate Cut Bets

  • Gold futures hit record Rs 1,39,091
  • Silver futures surge 3.56% to record high
  • US-Venezuela tensions fuel safe-haven demand
  • Traders price in Fed rate cuts for 2026
2 min read

Gold, silver continue touching new highs amid rising geopolitical tensions

Gold and silver prices surge to record highs driven by US-Venezuela tensions, Fed rate cut expectations, and strong central bank buying. Get key price levels and analysis.

"Aggressive central bank buying, expectations of US Fed rate cuts... and geopolitical tensions drove the gold and silver prices this year. - Analysts"

New Delhi, Dec 26

The gold prices surged over 0.5 per cent to record highs on Friday, due to rising geopolitical tensions and expectations for more US rate cuts next year.

MCX gold February futures rose 0.72 per cent to a record Rs 1,39,091 per 10 grams, while MCX silver March futures jumped 3.56 per cent to a record Rs 2,31,759 per kg, as of 10.10 am. Earlier in the day, silver futures had touched an intraday high of Rs 2,32,741 per kg.

Rising tensions between the US and Venezuela is the major factor driving gold prices higher. International markets also saw bullion rise higher as spot gold rose 0.5 per cent to $4,501.44 per ounce by 0209 Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) zone after earlier touching $4,530.60.

Traders are pricing in two quarter‑point Fed rate cuts in 2026, as inflation cools and labour market conditions soften, and when coupled with safe haven demand due to rising geopolitical tensions, fuelled defensive buying.

Geopolitical tensions have increased due to the US blockade of Venezuelan crude, Russia-Ukraine hostilities, and US military strike against ISIS in Nigeria. The US Coast Guard this month seized a super tanker under sanctions carrying Venezuelan oil and tried to intercept two more Venezuela‑related ships over the weekend heightening tensions.

"Central-bank buying and steady ETF inflows remain key support factors. Gold has support at Rs 1,36,550-1,35,710 while resistance at Rs 1,38,850-Rs 1,39,670. Silver has support at Rs 2,22,150-Rs 2,20,780 while resistance at Rs 2,25,810- Rs 2,26,970," said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd.

Aggressive central bank buying, expectations of US Fed rate cuts, concerns over impact of US tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and robust inflows into gold and silver ETFs drove the gold and silver prices this year, said analysts.

- IANS

Share this article:

Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
As an investor, this is a classic safe-haven move. With tensions from Ukraine to Nigeria, and the Fed likely to cut rates, gold and silver were bound to shine. The key question is sustainability. Are we near the peak, or is there more room to run? The technical levels mentioned are crucial.
A
Aman W
₹1,39,091 for 10 grams!? This is insane. How is a common person supposed to buy even a small coin for a festival or a birthday? This inflation in precious metals hits middle-class savings plans the hardest. The government should look into this.
S
Sarah B
Interesting to see how interconnected everything is. A blockade of Venezuelan oil on the other side of the world directly impacts the price of a bangle in Mumbai. Global economics is fascinating, if also a bit scary for long-term planning.
V
Vikram M
Silver jumping 3.5% is the bigger story for me. It's the poor man's gold and an industrial metal. This surge suggests fear in the markets AND expectations of industrial demand. Might be a good time to review my portfolio's commodity exposure.
N
Nisha Z
While the analysis is sound, the article focuses heavily on US factors. It would be good to know more about domestic demand during the wedding season and how RBI's gold reserves strategy is playing into this. The Indian context matters too.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50