Gold's Decline Deepens: How Dollar Surge and Fed Fears Impact Prices

Gold prices continued their downward trend on Tuesday as investors took profits. The stronger US dollar and reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts made bullion less appealing to investors. Meanwhile, China's decision to end tax exemptions for gold retailers could impact demand in the world's largest consumer market. Analysts expect gold to remain volatile, trading between ₹1,18,000 and ₹1,24,000 per 10 grams in the coming sessions.

Key Points: Gold Prices Fall Amid Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Cut Doubts

  • Gold futures fell 0.69% to ₹1,20,573 amid profit booking by investors
  • Dollar index surged to 99.95, making gold less attractive globally
  • Reduced US-China trade tensions and fading Fed rate cut hopes pressured prices
  • China ended gold tax exemptions, potentially slowing demand in top consumer market
2 min read

Gold continues to decline amid dollar's surge, fading Fed rate cut hopes

Gold futures drop as dollar hits 3-month high and Fed rate cut hopes fade. Analysts predict volatile trading between ₹1.18-1.24 lakh per 10 grams amid economic uncertainty.

"Gold hovered around $4,000 mark as the dollar remained resilient at over three-month highs - Manav Modi, Motilal Oswal Financial Services"

New Delhi, Nov 4

The price of gold futures declined on Tuesday as investors booked profits, tracking gains from a stronger US dollar and lowered expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

The price of 10 grams of 24-carat gold was Rs 1,19,916 as of 12.30 pm, according to data published by the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA).

December gold futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell by Rs 836, or 0.69 per cent, to Rs 1,20,573 per 10 grams, as the dollar index surged by 0.08 per cent to 99.95.

Analysts noted a strong dollar, reduced US-China trade tensions, and decreased likelihood of another US rate cut as factors diminishing bullion's attractiveness.

"Gold hovered around $4,000 mark as the dollar remained resilient at over three-month highs. Fed officials continued pressing competing views on the economy, a debate set to intensify ahead of the Fed's December policy meeting and in the absence of key data, including from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, due to the federal government shutdown," said Manav Modi, Analyst–Precious Metal - Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Meanwhile, China ended a long-standing tax exemption policy for some gold retailers, potentially setting back a gold buying spree in the world's biggest consumer market.

Central banks globally ramped up gold purchases in Q3 CY25, up 28 per cent on a quarterly basis, according to the World Gold Council's (WGC) latest data.

"Gold prices began November on a positive note supported by a weaker rupee and Comex gold holding above $4,010. With the ongoing US government shutdown limiting key economic data releases, investors are keen on manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI readings this week," said Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst - Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities.

Analysts noted that developments in US-China and US-India trade talks are expected to keep gold prices highly volatile within a range of Rs 1,18,000 to Rs 1,24,000.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

R
Rohit P
As an investor, this volatility is concerning. The US dollar strength and Fed uncertainty make gold unpredictable. Should I wait or buy now? 🤔
A
Arjun K
Gold has always been our family's safe investment. These short-term fluctuations don't matter when you're holding for generations. Traditional wisdom wins! 💛
S
Sarah B
Interesting to see how global factors affect our local gold prices. The US-China trade talks and Fed policies have such ripple effects on Indian households' savings.
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Vikram M
Respectfully, I think the media focuses too much on daily fluctuations. For most Indians, gold is about emotional value and security, not day trading. Let's keep perspective.
M
Michael C
The China policy change is significant! As the world's largest gold consumer, any shift there impacts global prices. Smart move by central banks increasing purchases.

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