Key Points

A 2025 UBS survey reveals that family offices view global trade wars as their primary investment risk, overshadowing other threats like geopolitical conflicts and potential recessions. Despite these concerns, family offices plan strategic diversification to safeguard their investments, with increased allocations in developed market equities and private debt. While the US tariffs contribute to trade disruptions, ongoing geopolitical conflicts like the Israel-Palestine and Russia-Ukraine wars add layers of uncertainty. In response, family offices also focus on emerging sectors such as healthcare and AI to navigate these turbulent times.

Key Points: UBS Report Global Trade War Tops Family Office Concerns 2025

  • Trade wars top investment concerns for family offices
  • Geopolitical conflict and recession follow closely
  • Strategies include diversification and hedging
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Global trade war is the biggest investment risk in 2025 for family offices: UBS survey

Trade wars are the top investment risk for family offices in 2025, UBS survey reveals.

"70% see trade war as the top threat to their financial goals. - UBS Report"

New Delhi, May 26

Global trade wars are biggest risk to the investment this year, followed by major geopolitical conflict, and higher inflation, revealed Global Family Office Report 2025 by UBS.

According to the survey conducted in the first quarter of 2025, it reveals that, when asked about the greatest threats to their financial objectives over the next 12 months, more than two-thirds (70 per cent) highlighted a trade war.

However, family offices expressed their concern before Trump administration's announcement of US tariffs.

Additionally, looking ahead five years, family offices are also concerned about the risks that may follow serious trade disputes, with almost two-thirds (61 per cent) worrying about major geopolitical conflict, and more than half (53 per cent) anxious about a global recession.

In light of these concerns, family offices are considering various strategies to protect their portfolios, including diversification through manager selection, active management, hedge funds, and precious metals.

Family offices have increased their investments in developed market equities, with the average allocation rising from 24 per cent in 2023 to 26 per cent in 2024, and a planned increase to 29 per cent in 2025. Allocations to private debt also increased from 2 per cent in 2023 to 4 per cent in 2024, with plans to raise it to 5 per cent in 2025.

Contrary to that, cash allocations decreased from 10 per cent in 2023 to 8 per cent in 2024, and there are plans to reduce them further to 6 per cent in 2025.

Furthermore, it was also revealed that these family offices were also keen on investing in fields like healthcare, electrification and AI.Geopolitically, global trade is experiencing significant disruption because of US tariffs. Adding to this complexity, geopolitical conflicts like the Israel-Palestine war and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict are also adding to the uncertainty around world trade and growth.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

R
Rajesh K.
This is why India needs to strengthen its domestic manufacturing under Make in India. Global trade wars will hurt smaller economies the most. We should focus on becoming self-reliant in key sectors like electronics and pharmaceuticals. 🇮🇳
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Priya M.
Interesting how family offices are increasing equity investments despite risks. Shows confidence in long-term growth. But I worry about how rising US tariffs might impact Indian IT and pharma exports. Our companies need to diversify markets beyond US and Europe.
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Amit S.
The report misses how India can benefit from trade wars by attracting companies leaving China. We have the demographic dividend and improving infrastructure. Government should aggressively market India as alternative manufacturing hub! #AatmanirbharBharat
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Sunita R.
As a small investor, this worries me 😟. If big family offices are concerned, what about middle class investors like us? Maybe we should also look at gold and diversified mutual funds rather than keeping all money in stocks. What do others think?
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Vikram J.
The focus on healthcare and AI investments makes sense. India has huge potential in both areas. But we need better policies to support startups in these sectors. Too much red tape still exists for deep tech companies.
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Neha P.
While trade wars are concerning, India should use this opportunity to strengthen ties with African and Latin American markets. Our trade with these regions is still very low compared to potential. Time to look beyond traditional partners!

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