Key Points

Global crude oil prices are expected to remain very stable throughout 2025 according to KPMG's energy sector head. Market tensions from Middle East conflicts and the Ukraine war have already been absorbed by energy markets. India is exploring small modular reactors to boost its nuclear energy mix despite current cost challenges. Artificial intelligence is emerging as a transformative technology for enterprise operations within the energy sector.

Key Points: KPMG's Anish De Predicts Stable 2025 Crude Oil Prices

  • Middle East tensions and Ukraine war already priced into stable crude markets
  • India needs both large nuclear and small modular reactor technologies
  • AI will transform enterprise operations rather than direct energy production
  • India remains attractive investment destination if policy regime improves
3 min read

Crude oil prices to remain stable during rest of 2025: Anish De, KPMG energy sector head

KPMG energy head Anish De forecasts stable crude oil prices for 2025, citing market absorption of Middle East tensions and Ukraine war impacts on global energy markets.

"I can't see a reason for crude oil to suddenly drop off or spike up - Anish De, KPMG"

New Delhi, September 16

Global crude oil prices are expected to remain very stable in 2025, according to Anish De, Global Sector Head, Energy, Natural Resources and Chemicals at multinational professional services firm KPMG International, who sees no reason for the oil to drop off or spike up suddenly.

"...my suspicion is that it is going to stay very stable because we saw a lot of disturbances in 2025, but crude oil has remained in a very narrow band. So I can't see a reason for crude oil to suddenly drop off or spike up," De told ANI, on the sidelines of the Global Energy Conclave - #ENRich2025 organised by KPMG India. The conclave is now in its 16th edition.

De noted that issues in the Middle East, including tensions around Iran and Gaza, as well as the ongoing war in Ukraine, have already been absorbed by markets. As a result, they are no longer causing significant volatility in crude pricing.

"So in the Middle East, despite all the challenges around Iran and Gaza...crude price has been stable. So I don't see anything exceptional on the horizon which can cause the crude price to go up. Broadly, even on Ukraine, I think these are conflicts which have been on for many years now. So they have been kind of normalized in the prices," he added.

Asked about India's plan to roll out a support package for small modular reactors (SMRs) to boost the nuclear energy mix, De said India needs all kinds of nuclear technology, just like it needs all forms of energy.

"We need large nuclear and also small modular reactors. The application areas are different for the two. The only concern remains that small modular reactors, the current costing and the pricing, are still much higher than the conventional nuclear fleet," De said.

De also highlighted the role of emerging technologies. He said nuclear and hydrogen will remain important for the energy transition, but artificial intelligence stands out for its enterprise-level applications. AI, according to him, has the potential to transform how organizations operate, rather than directly impacting power generation or oil and gas production.

"AI is a different genre of technologies, but it is really burst on the screen, and now it's settling down. It can really transform the enterprise. So it is not about the technology for power generation or oil and gas production. It is actually the enterprise level applications of AI that is going to transform the organizations."

On US President Donald Trump's statement that India is buying crude oil from Russia and calling on the EU to impose tariffs on India, De, affirmed that negotiations are on between India and the US at this point of time today.

"We should remain optimistic that the two largest democracies of the world should be able to find a place, common ground," he added.

De also highlighted India's potential as an investment destination. According to him, if policy regime improves, the geopolitical environment which the world face today, stabilise a little bit, then "I can see India being a very attractive destination for investments."

"...new acreages have been opened up, many of them can be very prospective and then you have a market like no other place has," he further said.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Good to hear experts confirming what we've been seeing. Despite all the global tensions, oil has been surprisingly stable. Makes planning easier for businesses and households alike.
A
Aditya G
While stable prices are welcome, I hope the government uses this opportunity to accelerate our transition to renewable energy. We can't depend on fossil fuels forever.
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Sarah B
Interesting perspective on AI in energy sector. Most people think about renewables, but enterprise-level AI applications could bring real efficiency gains across the board.
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Vikram M
The Russia oil purchase issue needs careful handling. India's energy security comes first, but we must maintain good relations with the US too. Diplomatic balance is crucial.
M
Michael C
Small modular reactors could be a game-changer for India's energy needs, especially in remote areas. Hope the cost issues get resolved soon through innovation and scale.
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Nisha Z
While the analysis seems sound, I'd caution against over-optimism. Global politics can change overnight. We should have contingency plans for unexpected price shocks.

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