Key Points

The Indian banking sector is set to experience a robust credit growth of 11-12% in fiscal year 2026, driven by strategic RBI liquidity measures. Regulatory interventions like cash reserve ratio reduction and revised liquidity coverage ratio are injecting substantial funds into the financial system. Interestingly, household deposit participation is declining, with non-financial corporations filling the emerging gaps. These structural shifts signal potential long-term changes in banking fund management strategies.

Key Points: RBI Liquidity Boost Drives 11-12% Bank Credit Growth in FY26

  • RBI injects liquidity through 100 basis point CRR reduction
  • Household deposit share drops from 67% to 52% in fiscal 2025
  • Non-financial corporations filling banking deposit gaps
  • Alternative investments gaining popularity among retail depositors
2 min read

Credit growth at 11-12 pc in FY26 due to bank deposit growth, liquidity measures

Crisil report reveals RBI's liquidity measures and shifting deposit trends will fuel banking sector credit expansion in fiscal year 2026

"On an outstanding basis, the share of household deposits in total bank deposits contracted from 64% to 60% - Subha Sri Narayanan, Crisil Ratings"

New Delhi, Oct 3

Deposit growth at banks is expected to be adequate in FY26, facilitating credit growth of 11–12 per cent buoyed by enhanced liquidity from regulatory measures, a report said on Friday.

The report from ratings agency Crisil noted that decreasing household participation in term deposits and a reduction in current account and savings account (CASA) ratio indicate structural changes that may increase funding costs over the medium to long term.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has injected liquidity since April 2025, improving conditions from the tight liquidity situation.

A 100-basis-point reduction in the cash reserve ratio is injecting approximately Rs 2.5 lakh crore into the system, and revised liquidity coverage ratio regulations could release an additional Rs 1.9 lakh crore, the report noted.

As retail depositors increasingly migrate to alternative investment avenues, the share of household incremental deposits has dropped to 52 per cent in fiscal 2025, down from 67 per cent in fiscal 2020.

"On an outstanding basis, the share of household deposits in total bank deposits contracted from 64 per cent to 60 per cent between fiscals 2020 and 2025, with non-financial corporations filling the gap with a 4 per cent increase," said Subha Sri Narayanan, Director, Crisil Ratings.

During periods of tight liquidity, this behaviour can potentially lead to faster deposit outflows and increased funding costs for some banks. Looking ahead, as alternative investments continue to gain popularity, we expect the share of household deposits to decline further, she added.

Within CASA deposits, interestingly, the share of current deposits has remained relatively range-bound, while the share of savings deposits has declined.

As deposits account for over 90 per cent of their total borrowings, individual banks may seek to diversify their funding sources to mitigate potential risks, the firm suggested.

- IANS

Share this article:

Reader Comments

P
Priya S
As someone who recently moved from FDs to mutual funds, I can see why household deposits are declining. Banks need to offer better interest rates to compete with mutual funds and stocks. The 4-5% FD rates just don't cut it anymore.
S
Sarah B
While the liquidity injection is positive, I'm concerned about the structural shift away from household deposits. Banks relying more on corporate deposits could make the system more vulnerable during economic downturns. Need better balance.
A
Arjun K
₹2.5 lakh crore CRR cut + ₹1.9 lakh crore from LCR changes = massive liquidity boost! This should help reduce lending rates and support economic growth. Perfect timing as we head into festival season 🎉
K
Kavya N
The shift from savings deposits is interesting. With digital payments and UPI becoming so popular, people don't need to keep large amounts in savings accounts anymore. Banking is changing rapidly in India!
M
Michael C
As an investor, I appreciate the transparency from CRISIL. The data shows Indian households are becoming more financially literate and exploring diverse investment options beyond traditional bank deposits. This is healthy for the economy long-term.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50