Key Points

The US Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is anticipated to inject positive momentum into South Korea's stock market. Analysts predict increased liquidity and potential capital inflow from foreign investors. The move comes amid expectations of economic recovery and continued market growth. However, ongoing trade negotiations with the United States could introduce potential market volatility.

Key Points: Fed Rate Cut Boosts S. Korea Stock Market Hopes

  • Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points for first time under Trump
  • Foreign ownership in KOSPI expected to rebound
  • Analysts predict bullish market run until year-end
  • Trade negotiations with US could impact stock market performance
2 min read

Analysts expect Fed's rate cut to boost S. Korea's stock market

US Federal Reserve's rate cut signals potential economic recovery and increased foreign investment in South Korean stock market

"This is expected to strengthen liquidity momentum and hopes for an economic recovery - Lee Kyoung-min, Daishin Securities"

Seoul, Sep 18

The latest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve could increase liquidity and provide upward momentum to the South Korean stock market, analysts here said on Thursday.

On Wednesday (local time), the Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, marking the first rate cut since December and also the first under President Donald Trump's administration, reports Yonhap news agency.

It also signalled the possibility of two additional rate cuts within the year amid growing political and economic pressures to stimulate growth.

"This is expected to strengthen liquidity momentum and hopes for an economic recovery," said analyst Lee Kyoung-min from Daishin Securities.

Analyst Na Jeong-hwan from NH Investment & Securities offered a similar view, predicting that the latest rate cut could increase capital inflow from foreign investors.

"Foreign ownership across the KOSPI has rebounded to 33 percent but is still lower than their ownership before the COVID-19 pandemic, which was around 35 to 39 percent," Na said.

Han Ji-young from Kiwoon Securities reiterated expectations the KOSPI will continue a bullish run until the end of the year but warned of short-term volatilities as investors digest the details from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

Trade talks with Washington are another factor that could shape the future direction of the local stock market, according to analyst Hwang Jun-ho from SangSangIn Investment & Securities.

He argued that a longer-than-expected deadlock with the U.S. in tariff negotiations compared with other economies, such as Japan and the European Union, could reduce the price competitiveness of South Korea's major export items and add downward pressure to the KOSPI.

"If tariff negotiations are not concluded properly, it could offset the government's efforts to boost the stock market, leading to declines in sectors, such as semiconductors and bio, which are supposed to lead the KOSPI's rise."

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Interesting analysis. But I wonder if our RBI will follow suit with rate cuts? Global economic conditions affect all Asian markets similarly. Hope our policymakers are watching this closely.
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Arjun K
The trade war angle is crucial. South Korea's semiconductor industry could face challenges if US negotiations don't go well. Similar concerns for Indian IT and pharma exports if global trade tensions continue.
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Sarah B
As an NRI investor, I appreciate this analysis. Many of us track both Indian and other Asian markets. Fed decisions have ripple effects across all emerging economies. Good to see detailed coverage.
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Vikram M
While the analysis is good, I wish there was more comparison with how Indian markets typically respond to Fed rate cuts. South Korea's export-heavy economy has different dynamics than India's domestic-focused market.
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Michael C
The foreign ownership statistics are telling - even at 33% it shows global confidence in Korean markets. India has been seeing strong FII inflows too. Global liquidity conditions definitely helping emerging markets.

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