Worst is behind, demand recovery underway for Indian textile sector as tariff woes ease: Report
Mumbai, June 11
The Indian textile sector is entering a phase of recovery and renewed optimism as the uncertainty surrounding US tariffs recedes and global demand begins to improve, according to a report by Dolat Capital.
The report, said that the "worst is behind" for the sector and highlighted improving industry fundamentals, better demand visibility and favourable policy developments.
"The sector, in our opinion, is now entering a phase of renewed optimism, supported by the resolution of US tariff-related uncertainties, improving demand visibility, and a series of strategic Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) that are strengthening India's position in global sourcing chains," the report said.
According to the report, a major turning point came in late February 2026 when US tariffs on Indian textile products were normalized to 10 per cent after touching as high as 50 per cent.
"The ending of US reciprocal and penalty tariffs has brought significant relief to the Indian textile sector, normalizing trade and leading to volume stabilization," it said.
The report noted that the removal of punitive duties, which had pushed total charges on Indian garments to as much as 65-69 per cent, has "restored global competitiveness for Indian exports and unleashed pent-up demand in the US market."
Industry fundamentals have also improved considerably, aided by capacity consolidation in spinning, restoration of cotton cost competitiveness and stronger yarn spreads.
"Industry fundamentals have improved meaningfully, aided by capacity consolidation in the spinning segment, restoration of cotton cost competitiveness, and a sharp recovery in yarn spreads, driving better profitability across the value chain," the report added.
The brokerage further said that anticipated and recently signed FTAs with key markets such as the UK, EU and Australia are expected to provide structural support to the industry.
"Global buyers are actively looking to diversify their supply chains away from over-dependence on duty-free nations like Bangladesh and Cambodia, making India a highly attractive, long-term sourcing alternative," it said.
On the demand front, the report observed that the US market is showing resilience despite macroeconomic volatility.
"As of early Q1FY27, demand has stabilized and shows robust resilience despite inflationary pressures and macroeconomic volatility," it said.
The report also highlighted improving conditions in the yarn segment, stating that "the demand for yarn has seen a strong resurgence in both domestic and international markets."
Looking ahead, Dolat Capital believes the sector is well positioned for sustainable growth despite challenges from geopolitical disruptions and higher crude-linked input costs.
"Robust domestic demand, disciplined capital allocation, and deleveraging efforts continue to provide resilience, positioning the sector for a stronger and more sustainable growth trajectory," the report said.
However, it cautioned investors to monitor the persistence of US tariffs, cotton price volatility, delays in offshore capacity ramp-ups and any softness in US retail demand.
— ANI
Reader Comments
This sounds promising but I've heard similar optimism before, and we know how volatile global demand can be. The real test will be if domestic demand also picks up. Also, we need to ensure our spinning mills and weavers aren't exploited by middlemen. Hope this recovery is sustainable for the small units in power looms.
As someone whose family runs a small textile factory in Ichalkaranji, I can say this is a breath of fresh air. The last 2 years were brutal - we had to downsize staff. The FTA with the UK is a game-changer because British buyers prefer Indian quality over Chinese knock-offs. Also good to see yarn spreads recovering - that's the backbone of our industry.
Great news but we need to look at the workers' side too 🧵 The textile sector employs millions of women, especially in spinning mills and garment units. If profitability improves, I hope wages increase proportionately. Also, what about environmental compliance? Fast fashion's demand for cheap cotton and water-intensive processes is a concern - we need sustainable growth.
I work in procurement for a European fashion brand. Trust me, India is becoming the preferred sourcing destination again. Bangladesh's political instability and Cambodia's labor issues have made buyers nervous. The Dolat report is right - FTAs with EU and UK will be decisive. But we must fix logistics bottlenecks at Mundra and Nhava Sheva ports to truly capitalize.
'Renewed optimism' - that's what they said in 2022 as well before the tariff mess happened.
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