Today's Chanakya Predicts Clear BJP Majority in Bengal, Ends Trinamool Rule

Today's Chanakya exit poll predicts a clear majority for BJP in West Bengal with 192 seats. Trinamool Congress is projected to win 100 seats, ending its 15-year rule. BJP's vote share is estimated at 48% compared to TMC's 38%. The poll results will be declared on May 4.

Key Points: Chanakya Predicts BJP Majority in Bengal Assembly Polls

  • BJP projected to win 192 seats in 294-seat West Bengal Assembly
  • Trinamool Congress predicted at 100 seats
  • BJP vote share estimated at 48%, TMC at 38%
  • Results to be declared on May 4
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Today's Chanakya predicts clear majority for BJP in Bengal

Today's Chanakya exit poll projects BJP winning 192 seats in West Bengal, ending Trinamool Congress's 15-year rule. Results on May 4.

"BJP candidates are expected to win from 192 Assembly constituencies - Today's Chanakya"

Kolkata, April 30

Poll psephology entity Today's Chanakya on Thursday released its exit poll projections for the two-phase Assembly elections in West Bengal, predicting a clear majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party this time, potentially ending the 15-year Trinamool Congress rule in the eastern state since 2011.

As per the exit poll predictions of Today's Chanakya, BJP candidates are expected to win from 192 Assembly constituencies (plus/minus 11) in the 294-seat West Bengal Assembly.

On the other hand, as per the same set of predictions, the victory of the ruling Trinamool Congress candidates has been projected at 100 seats (plus/minus 11).

As per the predictions of Today's Chanakya, the combined tally of others, including the Congress and the Left Front-All India Secular Front alliance, will range between zero and two seats.

As far as percentage vote share is concerned, the BJP's vote share in the just concluded West Bengal Assembly elections is projected to be around 48 per cent (plus/minus three), while that of the Trinamool Congress is projected at 38 per cent (plus/minus three). The percentage vote share for others, as per the predictions of Today's Chanakya, will be around 14 per cent (plus/minus three).

On Wednesday, after the second phase of the two-phase West Bengal Assembly polls was concluded, a number of poll and psephology entities came out with their respective exit poll predictions.

Barring two, as reported by IANS on Wednesday, almost all the other exit poll reports predicted a victory for the BJP and the end of the Trinamool Congress regime.

However, most of the agencies that came out with their projections on Wednesday said that there would be a neck-and-neck contest between the BJP and the Trinamool Congress.

In that sense, Today's Chanakya, along with the Praja Polls survey, are among the only two agencies that have predicted a clear majority for the BJP.

Praja Polls placed the BJP well ahead with a projected tally between 178 and 208 seats, followed by the Trinamool Congress between 85 and 110 seats, and others between two and three seats.

The two-phase Assembly election in West Bengal this time was conducted on April 23 and April 29. The results will be declared on May 4.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Honestly, exit polls pe bharosa karna risky hai. 2019 mein bhi kafi predictions galat nikle the. BJP ko 48% vote share ka projection de rahe hain, lekin Bengal mein TMC ka grassroot connect strong hai. Let's wait for the actual results on May 4.
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Arjun K
Yaar, agar Today's Chanakya sahi hai to Bengal mein ek naya zamaana shuru hoga. Modi ji ki guarantee aur development ka agenda Bengal mein bhi kaam kar raha hai. Lekin Congress aur Left ka 0-2 seats pe aana to unke political death certificate ki tarah hai 💀
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Rohit P
Thoda skepticism zaroori hai. Today's Chanakya ne 2019 Lok Sabha polls mein bhi kuch overconfident predictions diye the. Bengal mein TMC still has strong grassroots presence, especially in rural areas. Plus, exit polls mein "plus/minus 11" ka margin bhi matlab rakhta hai. Let's not jump to conclusions.
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Nisha Z
Bahut interesting hai! Bengal ka political graph kaafi change hua hai. Pehle Left Front, phir TMC, aur ab BJP? 48% vote share ka projection to bada shock hai. Lekin ek baat clear hai - Bengal mein ab ek dominant opposition power ban rahi hai, jo democracy ke liye achha hai. 👏
V
Varun X
Sirf 0-2 seats for Congress-Left alliance

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