Sensex, Nifty Fall After Green Open Amid Inflation and Growth Risks

Indian equity benchmarks opened in green but quickly declined amid selling pressure. The rupee touched a new low of 95.63 against the dollar, increasing downside risk to growth and upside to inflation. The government hiked customs duties on gold, silver, and platinum to conserve foreign exchange. Experts advise a cautious approach, suggesting investors focus on safe sectors like pharmaceuticals and adopt a sell-on-rise strategy.

Key Points: Markets Tumble: Sensex, Nifty Fall After Green Open

  • Markets opened in green but soon declined
  • Rupee hits new low of 95.63 to the dollar
  • Gold import duty hiked from 6% to 15%
  • Experts advise sell-on-rise strategy
3 min read

Sensex, Nifty tumble soon after opening in Green amid downside risk to growth and upside to inflation

Sensex and Nifty opened in green but declined amid downside risk to growth and upside to inflation. Expert advice on safe sectors.

"Investors should opt for safety now. Better to remain in cash till there is clarity on the crude price. - VK Vijayakumar"

New Delhi, May 13

Markets opened in green on Wednesday as the Indian equity benchmarks attempted a recovery following consecutive declines, but soon declined as the selling pressure continued.

The BSE SENSEX opened at 74,809.68 points, up by 250.44 points or 0.34 per cent. Similarly, the NSE NIFTY 50 started at 23,460.20 points, gaining 80.65 points or 0.34 per cent in the early minutes of the session. The positive start provided a brief relief for investors after a volatile period but it did not stand for long.

VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments said "Rupee has touched a new low of 95.63 to the dollar. The downside risk to India's growth and upside risk to inflation has increased. This has negative implications for markets. With the AI trade still intact, FIIs are likely to continue on the sell-mode. The derivatives data indicate this. Investors should opt for safety now. Better to remain in cash till there is clarity on the crude price. Pharmaceuticals seem to be the safe sector now. Long-term investors can slowly accumulate large banking stocks on declines."

The market showed a generally positive trend across most sectoral indices, with NIFTY Metal leading the gains at a significant 1.44 per cent increase. Other sectors showing steady growth include NIFTY Pharma (0.67 per cent), NIFTY Healthcare index (0.56 per cent), and NIFTY Oil & Gas (0.46 per cent).

Conversely, a few sectors experienced minor declines, specifically NIFTY media, which dropped by 0.93 per cent, followed by marginal dips in NIFTY IT (-0.04 per cent) and NIFTY PSU Bank (-0.03 per cent).

Overall, indices like NIFTY FMCG and NIFTY Realty remain in the green.

The Indian government has sharply hiked customs duties on precious metals like gold, platinum and silver, citing the need to conserve foreign exchange and protect the economy from growing global pressures stemming from the ongoing West Asia crisis.

Import duty on gold and silver has been raised from 6 per cent to 15 per cent, while platinum will now attract a duty of 15.4 per cent, up from 6.4 per cent. The changes also apply to related items such as gold and silver dore, coins, and findings.

Rajesh Palviya, Head of Research at Axis Direct, noted that the previous session saw a substantial downturn in market sentiment.

"Asian futures are soft this morning, and GIFT Nifty indicates a flat open. The battle lines are clear: 23,300 is immediate support, with 23,100-23,000 as the next zone, while bulls need a daily close above 23,500 for any recovery. Unless and until 23,800 is reclaimed, the bias remains bearish. The broader market saw substantial selling pressure, and one can adopt a sell-on-rise strategy until the Nifty surpasses the 23500-23600 level," Palviya added.

Regional performance across Asia remains varied. The Nikkei 225 climbed 439.43 points and the KOSPI rose by 132.04 points. Conversely, the Taiwan Weighted index faced a significant decline of 661.38 points.

In the US on Tuesday, the Nasdaq dropped 0.7 per cent, while the Dow Jones posted marginal gains. "Wall Street finished mixed overnight after a hotter-than-expected 3.8 per cent April CPI print," Palviya mentioned.

Commodity markets also reflect ongoing global tensions as Brent crude surged near USD 106.49 per barrel due to concerns regarding supply from Iran. Gold remained steady, trading around the USD 4,703.13 level.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

M
Michael C
I've been invested in Indian markets for years, but this sell-on-rise strategy makes sense. The 23,300 support level is crucial. The global factors - US inflation at 3.8%, Brent crude near $106, West Asia tensions - are all headwinds. It's not just an India problem. Time to be defensive and focus on quality largecaps.
S
Shreya B
Finally some good news for pharma sector! 📈 With crude rising and rupee falling, maybe the govt should also look at reducing dependence on oil imports. The 15% gold duty is a shock but necessary to protect forex reserves. But bhai, middle class families planning weddings will feel the pinch. Hope this stabilizes soon.
J
James A
I'm a bit critical of the government's knee-jerk reaction. Hiking gold import duty to 15% might reduce imports but could also fuel smuggling. Instead of punishing consumers, why not tackle the root causes of rupee depreciation? The market analysts are right - cash is king right now. Better to wait for clarity on crude prices before re-entering.
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Rohit L
As someone who tracks Nifty daily, this 23,300 support is make-or-break. If it breaks, we might see 23,000. But am I the only one noticing that despite all the bad news, metals and pharma are still green? Smart money is rotating into defensives. My take: accumulate banking stocks slowly like the expert said, but don't rush. Patience is key! 🚀

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