Sensex, Nifty Plunge Over 2% Amid Bond Yield Spike, Global Jitters

Indian equity benchmarks plunged over 2% on Friday, dragged down by a spike in global bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and broad-based selling pressure. Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities cited a combination of macro headwinds, including crude oil volatility and a rising VIX, for the bearish sentiment. Technical indicators like RSI and MACD reinforced the weakness, with only the CPSE index managing to close in the green. While near-term volatility persists, experts like Dr. Vijay Kalantri point to government policy support, such as fuel duty cuts, as potential relief measures for the economy.

Key Points: Sensex, Nifty Fall Over 2% on Bond Yields, Global Uncertainty

  • Nifty fell 2.09% to 22,820
  • Sensex dropped 2.25% to 73,583
  • Rising US, Japan bond yields spook markets
  • Banking, PSU stocks among worst hit
  • Experts cite key support, resistance levels
3 min read

Sensex, Nifty slide over 2% amid bond yield spike and global uncertainty

Indian stock markets crashed over 2% Friday due to rising bond yields, global headwinds, and geopolitical tensions. Experts analyze key levels.

"A combination of macro headwinds weighed heavily on market sentiment - Sudeep Shah"

Mumbai, March 27

Indian equity benchmarks fell sharply on Friday, weighed down by global macro headwinds, rising bond yields, and persistent geopolitical tensions.

The benchmark Nifty 50 closed at 22,820, down 2.09 per cent, after opening with a gap-down and remaining under pressure throughout the session. The banking index Bank Nifty also mirrored the weakness, declining 2.67 per cent to settle at 52,275.

BSE Sensex closed at 73,583.22, down by 2.25%.

According to Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, a combination of global and domestic factors dampened investor sentiment.

"A combination of macro headwinds weighed heavily on market sentiment, including a pullback in crude oil prices, the rupee hitting a record high, a spike in US and Japanese 10-year bond yields, and a rise in VIX. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia further added to the cautious undertone," Shah said.

He added that the index faced selling pressure after failing to cross key resistance levels earlier this week.

"After failing to surpass the 23,350-23,400 resistance zone, Nifty witnessed renewed selling pressure... every pullback has been sold into at higher levels, reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend," he noted.

On the technical front, indicators continued to signal weakness. "RSI has slipped after briefly crossing the 40 mark... while MACD continues to trade well below both the zero line and the signal line, further strengthening the bearish bias," Shah said.

Sectorally, only the CPSE index managed to end in positive territory, while PSU banks and defence stocks were among the worst hit. Broader markets also remained under pressure, with midcap and smallcap indices falling over 1.5 per cent each.

Market breadth remained decisively negative, with a large majority of stocks ending in the red, reflecting widespread selling pressure.

Looking ahead, Shah highlighted key levels for the benchmark index. "The immediate support for Nifty is placed in the 22,650-22,600 zone. Any sustainable move below this zone could result in Nifty extending its weakness towards 22,400, followed by 22,200. On the upside, 23,150-23,200 is likely to act as strong resistance."

For Bank Nifty, he said, "The immediate support is placed in the 51,800-51,700 zone... while 52,700-52,800 will act as immediate resistance," adding that the index continues to underperform the broader market.

Meanwhile, market experts believe policy support and easing fuel costs could provide some relief going forward.

Dr Vijay Kalantri said the government's move to reduce excise duty on petrol and diesel is a positive step amid volatile conditions.

He noted that the measure "will help stabilise prices and provide relief to consumers," adding that it could prevent further inflationary pressures and support economic activity.

Kalantri also flagged concerns over supply disruptions due to tensions in the Gulf region, particularly for critical imports such as fertilisers and petrochemicals, but expressed optimism.

He said assurances from Iran regarding safe passage could ease concerns, while adding that the Indian rupee is expected to strengthen.

Despite near-term volatility, he maintained a positive long-term outlook. "With continued government support for trade and industry, the Indian economy is expected to witness positive growth despite current challenges," he said.

- ANI

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
The excise duty cut on fuel is a welcome move by the government. It will help control inflation at the ground level. But these global factors are really hurting our market sentiment. Hope the rupee stabilizes soon.
M
Michael C
Watching from the US, the correlation with our bond yields is clear. When the Fed signals higher for longer, emerging markets like India feel the heat. The fundamentals of the Indian economy are strong, but global capital flows are fickle.
S
Siddharth J
Small and mid-cap investors are getting crushed again. The article says they fell over 1.5%, but my portfolio is down 5%! 😓 Regulators need to check the excessive speculation in these segments. Retail investors suffer the most.
N
Nisha Z
Geopolitical tensions affecting our markets is frustrating. We have nothing to do with conflicts in West Asia, but our economy gets impacted due to oil and trade routes. Hope diplomacy prevails soon for everyone's sake.
R
Rohit P
The technical analysis here is spot on. Nifty respected the resistance and broke support. Looks like we are heading to 22,400 as mentioned. Time to stay in cash or hedge positions. Bank Nifty underperformance is a big worry.
K
Kavya N
While the experts give levels

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