NewKerala.com

IMD Predicts Below-Normal Monsoon Rainfall for India in 2024

The India Meteorological Department has forecast a below-normal monsoon for the 2024 season, with rainfall expected to be around 92% of the long-period average. IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra stated that most parts of the country are likely to receive deficient rainfall, with some exceptions in Northwest, Northeast, and South India. Large-scale climatic conditions are currently neutral but may shift later in the season, with a potential positive Indian Ocean Dipole developing in the second half. The forecast was announced at a press conference also addressed by M Ravichandran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences.

Key Points: IMD Forecasts Below-Normal Monsoon Rainfall for India

  • Below-normal monsoon forecast for 2024
  • Rainfall expected at 92% of long-period average
  • Most regions to see deficient rain
  • Neutral conditions to persist until June
  • Positive Indian Ocean Dipole possible later
2 min read

Rainfall for monsoon season likely to be below normal: IMD

India likely to see below-normal monsoon rains this year, with rainfall expected to be 92% of the long-period average, says IMD.

"rainfall for the entire monsoon season is likely to be below normal - Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, IMD"

New Delhi, April 13

Director General of the India Meteorological Department, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, on Monday said that rainfall for the upcoming monsoon season across the country is "likely to be below normal"

Speaking to ANI, according to the national forecast issued by the India Meteorological Department, rainfall for the entire monsoon season is likely to be below normal, Mohapatra said.

He stated that region-wise distribution indicates below normal rainfall in most parts of the country, with some exceptions.

"According to the national forecast issued by the India Meteorological Department, rainfall for the entire monsoon season is likely to be below normal... When considering various regions of the country, rainfall is expected to be below normal in almost all areas, except for some areas in Northwest India, Northeast India, and South India... The large-scale process is currently moving towards neutral conditions. Such neutral conditions will persist until June. After that, conditions are likely to develop in the equatorial Pacific... Towards the end of the monsoon season, or at least in the second half of the monsoon season, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole may develop, which is good for our monsoon season", he said.

India is likely to see below-normal monsoon rains this year, the India Meterological Department said on Monday.

"The quantity of monsoon rainfall this year is expected to reach 92 per cent of the long-period average this year," M Ravichandran, Secretary, Union Ministry of Earth Sciences, said while addressing a press conference here.

He was accompanied by Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director-general of the India Meteorological Department at the briefing.

The 2026 southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be below normal (95-90 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA).

- ANI

Share this article:

Reader Comments

S
Sarah B
Living in Chennai, we've already had water shortages this summer. If the monsoon is weak, it's going to be a very tough year. Hope the IMD's predictions about a positive IOD in the second half come true to salvage the situation.
R
Rohit P
Every year it's either "below normal" or "above normal" predictions. Last year they said normal and my area got flooded. While I respect the science, the accuracy for specific regions needs to improve. Farmers rely on this.
P
Priya S
Time for all of us to be more water-wise. Rainwater harvesting shouldn't be an option, it should be mandatory, especially in urban apartments. Let's not wait for a crisis to act.
M
Michael C
The mention of the equatorial Pacific conditions suggests El Niño/La Niña is still a major driver. It's a global phenomenon affecting weather patterns worldwide. Interesting to see the IOD might provide some relief later.
K
Kavya N
My father is a farmer in Maharashtra. News like this fills us with anxiety. The MSP and support prices must be announced early and clearly if the yield is going to be affected. Jai Kisan.

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

Leave a Comment

Minimum 50 characters 0/50