Nifty to Hit 27,958 in a Year? Report Predicts Bullish Run for Indian Markets

A report from PL Capital projects the Nifty index to reach 27,958 over the next 12 months under a base case scenario, with a bullish target of 30,497. It highlights a strong medium-term earnings trajectory, expecting a 16.3% CAGR from FY26 to FY28, supported by resilient corporate performance. The analysis states India's growth is becoming more structural, driven by policy clarity, landmark trade agreements like a potential India-EU FTA, and sustained infrastructure investment. Sectors like banks, financials, capital goods, and labor-intensive exports are positioned to benefit significantly from these trends.

Key Points: Nifty Target 27,958 in 12 Months: PL Capital Report

  • Nifty base target 27,958 in 12 months
  • Bull case sees Nifty at 30,497
  • Strong 16.3% earnings CAGR expected FY26-28
  • India-EU trade deal to boost key sectors
  • Banks, capital goods well-positioned
2 min read

Nifty likely to touch 27,958 in 12 months: Report

PL Capital report projects Nifty at 27,958 in a year, citing strong earnings growth, trade deals, and infrastructure push as key drivers.

"India is transitioning from a cyclical recovery phase to a structurally stronger growth trajectory - Amnish Aggarwal"

New Delhi, Feb 25

Early signs of revival are emerging in Indian markets, with the Nifty projected to reach 27,958 over the next 12 months under a base case scenario, a report said on Wednesday.

The report from PL Capital said that a bullish scenario of a 20x forward earnings multiple implies upside toward 30,497, while a conservative bear case suggests 26,486 target for Nifty.

The firm said that EPS growth is expected at 3.8 per cent, and medium‑term earnings trajectory remains strong with an estimated 16.3 per cent CAGR over FY26-28. Corporate performance has remained resilient, with sales, EBITDA and profit after tax growing 9.9 per cent, 16.4 per cent and 16.7 per cent year‑on‑year respectively, the report further said.

"India's growth narrative is entering a decisive phase as policy clarity, landmark trade agreements and a sustained infrastructure push converge to lay the foundation for the next leg of expansion," the report said.

The prolonged phase of market consolidation appears to be giving way to renewed optimism, with structural drivers firmly in place despite recent earnings recalibrations, it added.

"India is transitioning from a cyclical recovery phase to a structurally stronger growth trajectory," said Amnish Aggarwal, Director Research, Institutional Equities, PL Capital.

As capital formation accelerates and productivity enhancements play out, we believe Indian equities are entering the early stages of a multi-year compounding cycle, Aggarwal added.

A defining catalyst for the next growth cycle has been India's accelerated progress on trade diplomacy, it said highlighting the India-EU Free Trade Agreement.

Labour-intensive sectors such as textiles and apparel, marine products, leather and footwear, gems and jewellery, chemicals, machinery and electrical equipment stand to benefit significantly.

Marine exports, leather goods and gems -- critical employment generators -- are expected to see a meaningful demand boost, the firm predicted.

Sectorally, banks and diversified financials are positioned to benefit from credit growth normalisation toward 13-14 per cent and stable asset quality. Capital goods and engineering companies are likely to ride the infrastructure and defense wave, the firm noted.

- IANS

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Reader Comments

P
Priya S
Good to see the report highlighting labour-intensive sectors like textiles and gems. Real job creation on the ground is what will sustain this growth, not just numbers on a screen. Hope the benefits reach the small manufacturers.
R
Rohit P
While the optimism is welcome, I'd take these projections with a pinch of salt. A lot depends on the monsoon, global oil prices, and the upcoming elections. The bear case of 26,486 seems more realistic in the current global climate.
S
Sarah B
The estimated 16.3% CAGR for earnings over the next few years is impressive. As a long-term investor, the shift to a "structurally stronger growth trajectory" they mention is the key takeaway for me. Time to review my portfolio's exposure to capital goods and banks.
M
Meera T
All this talk of multi-year cycles is fine, but what about retail investors who entered the market at its peak? The consolidation phase has been painful. I hope this revival is broad-based and not just for the big players.
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Vikram M
The link between trade diplomacy and market growth is crucial. An India-EU FTA would be massive for exports. This isn't just about stocks rising; it's about India's strategic position on the world stage strengthening. Jai Hind!

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